Политология /10. Регионвальные политические процессы

Jakubayeva Saltanat Toleuovna, PhD student

Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, The Republic of Kazakhstan, 050040, Almaty city, Al-Farabi Ave., 71

 

The project "One belt-one way" and Kazakhstan

 

China Initiative "Economic belt of the Silk Road," are largely consonant with Kazakhstan's development program "Nurly Zhol", announced by the Head of our state in 2014. In matters of implementation of the "Economic belt of the Silk Road" Kazakhstan shares China's commitment to the development of Eurasian transport corridors, which fully complies with the imperatives of the economic policy of the Republic of Kazakhstan. The actions of our countries coincide in the fact that we are building a motorway Western Europe - Western China, paving the pipelines and railways. Now the Kazakh-Chinese relations are on the rise, reaching the highest level in its history of development. Strategy "Kazakhstan - 2050" and the program "Chinese dream" and are similar in terms of objectives and implementation.

 Kazakhstan, along with other Central Asian states, China is an important geopolitical and geo-economic region in the immediate vicinity of the pulses of its global impact, dissemination and promotion of culture, language, spiritual values, attitudes, technology, and other things. At this stage, our land, with China having a common land border, related by ethnic composition, in common with the most ancient history in the first place is important for China's geostrategic.

Today, China is the largest economy and the second largest consumer of oil and gas in the world. According to the forecast of the Chinese state oil company CNPC, oil consumption in China this year will increase by 3% to 10.68 million. Barrels per day. The import of oil in the country is expected to increase by 5.4% to 6.49 million. Barrels per day. Gas consumption in China will grow by 9.3% to 200 billion cubic meters, while imports, including liquefied natural gas-on 10,2%, to 65 billion cubic meters. One of the main problems of the further development of China is a growing demand for energy, in this connection, China is engaged in is not just buying the country's oil-rich hydrocarbons (for example, in the Middle East), and trying to establish control over resources, ie buys worldwide oil deposit (Australia, Canada, Indonesia, and others.), and needless to say, the rapid build-up of China's oil assets in Kazakhstan is observed [1].

 In the oil and gas sector of Kazakhstan today operates more than 30 companies with Chinese participation, of which 12 are wholly owned by Chinese investors [2]. The participation of Chinese investors in the oil industry of the country is expanding through the acquisition of the assets sold by western companies, and China is willing to continue lending in this sphere. According to various estimates, it controls between 20 and 40% of the oil sector of the country [3]. Currently, Kazakhstan is able to supply to China through the pipeline Atasu-Alashankou up to 20 million tons of oil per year. In addition, our country as a reliable transit country can annually pass through their territory to China to 55 billion cubic meters of Central Asian gas.

 Kazakhstan, as a country rich in hydrocarbons, mineral resources of interest to China as a source of raw materials, but at the same time, it is a market for its finished products, plays the role of a bridge linking China to Europe and the Middle East. In this regard, it is clear that China will increase its economic policy activity in Kazakhstan, as well as throughout the Central African Republic, as the main instrument of comprehensive influence, taking all sorts of free economic niches.

In recent years, with the deepening of the international economic relations on the Eurasian continent and the growth of cargo traffic between East Asia and Europe becomes more urgent revival of the transport corridor "Great Silk Road". Currently, Kazakhstan is actively working to create an integrated Eurasian transcontinental bridge, implemented about 200 projects related to the modernization of the transport infrastructure, it is planned the construction of terminals, launching container block-trains in the direction of China - Europe - China. Creating multiple routes between Europe and Asia is in the interests of all countries of the Eurasian continent. This approach is a key priority of Kazakhstan, as through the territory of our country are almost all transport corridors linking Europe and Asia. Now across the country are five international transport corridors. Built 1,700 km of new railway lines, 19,000 km of road reconstruction 9 airports. In general, it is expected that by 2020 the transit through Kazakhstan will increase two-fold [4].

The revival of the Great Silk Road, it is - a landmark project that China attaches great importance. The revival of the Great Silk Road to China will give a lot of advantages and significantly strengthen its geopolitical position - perhaps more than other countries, through which runs the Silk Road. According to Chinese experts, the Silk Road project rests on five pillars: policy, transport logistics, trade, investment, as well as communication and friendship between the people.

With its economic and financial power, the possibilities of investment and trade, China will only expand its presence in Kazakhstan (as in all of Central Asia), and "will behave more actively, primarily in economic terms," as Vice-Chairman Shanghai Center for international studies at the Shanghai Academy of social Sciences, director of the Center for the SCO Shanghai prof. Pan Guang [5].

An important role is played by the project in the bilateral Kazakh-Chinese economic cooperation, the western direction belt will pass through Kazakhstan. During his visit to China in 2016 the President of Kazakhstan N.A. Nazarbayev said: "...... Now there is crisis in the world. We narrowed all the funding possibilities of the world's financial institutions. China is a big outlet for us and a great help in this difficult time of crisis. A large steel plant in Kostanay region, the plant for the production of oil and gas equipment in the Mangistau region, a whole new brand of cars in Kazakhstan Kostanay. In Southern Kazakhstan - chemistry. We did not, we imported, we are building a plant of chemical fertilizers. Big plant for nitrogen fertilizers, all of them, as you can see, are in machine-building character, "[6].

At the official meeting in Astana with the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan N.A. Nazarbayev in 2013, Chinese President Xi Jinping has initiated a strategic project to create "economic belt of the Silk Road." He stressed in his speech that, "Kazakh land, through which the routes of the ancient Silk Road, has made a significant contribution to the integration of Eastern and Western civilizations have contributed to the development of relations with different people and cultures." "Today there was a need to apply new models of cooperation, joint efforts to form an" economic zone "of the Silk Road, starting from specific areas." The aim of this ambitious project - to stimulate economic growth in the countries along this belt and the creation of a new format of political and economic cooperation among States from East Asia to Western Europe on the principles of mutual respect, trust and interdependence. Chairman Xi Jinping also pointed out areas of cooperation, it is - a continuous exchange of views on various issues of economic development strategy for the development of measures and economic integration programs; construction of an integrated transport infrastructure from the Pacific Ocean to the Baltic Sea; strengthening of trade relations with the elimination of barriers and increase the speed of delivery; strengthening of the national currency flows; strengthening the ties between the people [5].

The downturn in the Chinese economy 2015-2016 years. gave reason to the experts and the media to predict the reduction in the volume of Sino-Kazakh economic cooperation. However, despite the pessimistic forecasts, Beijing is taking on new commitments. This clearly showed the visit, which was held by N.A. Nazarbayev to China and the signing of new agreements. During the talks, the leaders signed a series of contracts valued at $ 23 billion. China will invest $ 600 million in projects of "Kazakhstan Temir Zholy". The country is in a period of five years will invest in the development of the logistics sector and the industrial area in the special economic zone "Khorgos - Eastern Gate" [6]. Kazakhstan, for its part adopted a policy to strengthen economic and trade cooperation with China, which is one of the largest economies in the world, on a range of areas.

Kazakhstan supports China's initiative to create an economic zone of the Silk Road, aimed at closer cooperation in such fields as economy, trade, transport, investment, finance and culture. The Chinese side there are three main routes, two of which are complementary to the Kazakhstan infrastructure program "Nurly Zhol": from China through Central Asia, Russia to Europe / the Baltic Sea to / from China through Central Asia, West Asia to the Persian Gulf and the Mediterranean Sea. To date, the list of investment projects between Kazakhstan and China includes 51 projects totaling more than $ 26.2 billion in the chemical industry, mining and metallurgical sector, machine-building, infrastructure, energy, agriculture, light industry, oil refining, production of building materials and information technology. Of these, two projects have already been launched - modernization of installation of powdered polypropylene production and the production of cars.

Conclusion

China remains committed to its basic foreign policy principle of equality and mutual benefit. It needs a stable Central Asia and Iran open to continue the reforms and development policies. Iran and Central Asia to Beijing - energy security and acquisition of new markets for goods and investment. It strives to maintain relationships with existing regimes in Central Asia, speaking of stability, after the departure of I.Karimov in Uzbekistan and the forthcoming elections in Kyrgyzstan, for the resolution of conflicts in the region through negotiations and cooperation. This policy pays dividends to China that confirm its relations with Central Asian countries. Thus, China is strengthening relations with Iran and Kazakhstan strives to avoid actions that would put him in a position of confrontation with the United States and Russia in the region.

It is obvious that the international influence of China will grow more and more, and its presence in Kazakhstan to deepen and expand more and more intense. At the same time, for large-scale modernization of Kazakhstan's economy requires huge investments and serious scientific approach in all spheres of activity.

Kazakhstan needs to improve relations with China in non-raw material sectors of the economy, in the processing sector of the chemical industry, machine building, agriculture, tourism. It would be useful to enhance cooperation between the regions. We would be interested in cooperation in the sphere of ecology, water protection projects, etc.

It is safe to say that the provision of a truly civilized world order of the XXI century, based on the will of the majority of the world community, its real and potential centers of influence will depend, among other things, the success of developing a trusting partnership strategic nature between Kazakhstan and China, stable Kazakhstan -Chinese relations on the basis of a common understanding of the new, emerging architecture of international relations today, aimed at building a fair, equitable and non-violent world. Thus,the geographical location of Kazakhstan in the neighborhood of such political and economic giant like China, making China a priority vector of Kazakhstan's foreign policy.

Summarizing all the above, we can safely say that Iran, Kazakhstan and China have new opportunities of scientific and technological cooperation, the implementation of the strategic vision and the creation of resource and market the bridge of the Economic Belt of the Silk Road. In the context of falling oil prices and other negative factors, only cooperation will help our countries to pass the current transitional period. Only close cooperation of the two countries will help counter the economic problems.

Literature:

1. Li Xing, Hayk Martirosyan, Zhao Zhen. The significance of the central part of the Eurasian energy security of China // Problems of the Far East. - 2010. - №2. - p.33-41.

2. Syroezhkin KL Does Kazakhstan need to be afraid of China: myths and phobias bilateral relations - Astana-Almaty: IWEP at the Foundation of the First President, 2014 - p.32 Syroezhkin 432 KL Kazakhstan-China border trade from a strategic partnership. - In three books. Book 1. In the beginning - Almaty: KISR under the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan, 2010. - 336 p.

3. Luzianin S., E. Safronova, Chufrin GI Russia in Central Asia // Problems of the Far East. - 2011. - №3. - p.164-166

4. Kazakhstan pravda.23 May 2014.

5.专访上合组织研究中心主任潘光。20060613日。 http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2006-06/13/content_4691643.htm

6. Nazarbayev's visit to China - the first results http://www.ktk.kz/ru/news/video/2015/09/01/62522