Doctor of Economics, professor Dulambaeva R.T., Aitmyrzaeva Gulsara
Kazakh national University named after al – Farabi, Kazakhstan
The optimality of the market innovative products
The market for
innovations (hereinafter REA) - the connecting link elements of the national
innovation system. Its role is to establish effective mechanism of interaction
between the real sector of economy and scientific-production complex (SPC),
which is a collection of public and private research institutes both within the
country and abroad. For any RI, even the most minor unrest in the economy are
reflected in changes in the qualitative and quantitative characteristics of
supply and demand. If we rank all existing markets according to their level of
dependence on external conditions, the innovation market is the most sensitive,
due to the specificity of the product, which is the object of market relations
[1].
New technology or
innovation is a commodity. In the mid-twentieth century Austrian economist
Joseph Schumpeter distinguished between two categories of final implementation
of creative activity of a person or group of people – the invention and
innovation. The invention is an idea, which for some reason was not applied
tested and only exists in theoretical models. Innovation, by contrast, passed
the practical test and proved its effectiveness. Object relations RI are
exclusively on innovation, which in turn can be both applied and fundamental.
The first are characterized by the ability to improve a specific production
process, in which they were created. A set of unique application of innovation
determines the long-term technological strategy of each firm in the market.
Fundamental
innovations have a direct impact on the whole socio-economic system. RI actors
are the agents of supply and demand. The demand comes from productive sectors
of the economic system, structured on commodity markets of products that meet a
specific set of needs. As an example of the commodity market can lead to market
power for which there are companies offering the identical product but
nevertheless produced in different production processes (nuclear energy, water
and air flow, solar energy and fuel energy, geothermal energy). All of these
various processes in varying extent are competitors for each other. The
proposal in turn is formed by the complex of domestic and foreign research
institutes. Feature of NPC is its production capacity to meet demand in new
technologies across the list of industries [2].
Optimality is
achieved for RI while observing the participants of a number of principles that
reflect the General philosophy of behavior under the influence of their
management decisions endogenous and exogenous, i.e., coming from natural and
random processes occurring in the economy, factors such as competition,
monopoly, management, innovation activity, monetary and government policy and
so on. In other words, any causes that lead
to a decrease in activity in RI by both the CDD and the real sector are either
irrational cause-and-effect relationships in economic relations, or independent
processes. Thus, given the high
importance of globalization in the field of trade and economic relations
between different countries, any irrational behaviour of participants in
foreign markets will lead to serious domestic unrest in RI. In this case, the
problem of uneven development of countries has become a dangerous destabilizing
factor for any economy in the world. Technological progress is exogenous or a
stochastic process, destabilizing the optimality of RI for, because it is based
on creativity, and not business logic and therefore impossible to accurately
predict the time of occurrence of a specific innovation. The random nature of
the emergence of new technologies in time – the main problem of the empirical
testing of macroeconomic models with endogenous technological progress (Romer,
Lucas, Grossman), which is entered as a financing process R&D and R&E
economic entities. One of the first models of economic growth, allowing to take
into account the random nature of innovation, was proposed by H Jones, who used
the Poisson distribution to describe the rate of appearance of new technologies
[3]. Table
1
The main indicators of innovative activity
in Kazakhstan in 2010-2015
|
Indicators |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
|
Gross domestic product,
billion tenge |
5870.1 |
7590.6 |
10213.7 |
12 849.8 |
15907.0 |
15887.78 |
|
Domestic expenditures
on research and development in current prices, million tenge |
14579.8 |
21527.4 |
24799.9 |
26 835.5 |
34761.6 |
38 988.7 |
|
As a percentage of
gross domestic product |
0.25 |
0.28 |
0.24 |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.24 |
|
The number of
organizations performing research and development |
295 |
390 |
437 |
438 |
421 |
414 |
|
The share of
innovative products wit % |
1.27 |
1.58 |
1.53 |
1.19 |
0.69 |
0.51 |
|
The number of
employees engaged in research and development |
16715 |
18912 |
19 563 |
17 774 |
16 304 |
15 793 |
|
The level of
innovation activity |
2.3 |
3.4 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
In relation to
the market of innovative products, the unevenness of technological progress
poses four problems of optimality, namely: 1.
The choice of the optimal innovation path of development of production in the
long term taking into account stochasticity of the process of emergence of new
technologies.
2. The choice of the optimal innovation
path of development of production in the long term given the uncertain economic
environment of business. 3. The influence
of globalization on innovation industries.
4. The flexibility of the economy in suboptimal development of
technology [4].
The first problem
raises the question about the optimality of the market innovative products. If,
at some point of time, the company with the best technological strategy in the
long run leaves the market due to the fact that competitors with obviously the
worst technological strategies were able to offer consumers a new quality
product for more than a short period of time, then further RI for the industry
is not developing optimally. The second
problem is the constant change in economic conditions of business. This dynamic process is characterized by
the impact on the economy of a huge number of factors to take into account and
predict that not even the most sophisticated computer models. As an example, we can cite the global
economic recession of 2008-2009 and the unwillingness of economic entities
around the world to drastically altered conditions. If the company with the
worst technology strategy obtains a competitive advantage over other firms in
the market because of variability in economic conditions affecting the
qualitative characteristics of demand, then this situation may not lead to
optimality in RI. Firms with the best
technological strategies in the long term can leave the market due to lack of
competitiveness in a specific time period.
The third problem exists in the context of the first two. The principles
of free competition and openness of markets to external counterparties contribute
to the parish on the domestic market products produced in other countries with
different economic conditions. On the optimality of RI exists only if the
nonresident in a competitive market gets the advantage by offering a better
quality product, but not at the expense of more favorable economic conditions
for conducting economic activity in the country where the goods are produced
[5].
All of the above
problems of the violation of optimality in the market of innovations will
ultimately reduce the pace of economic growth and the deterioration of its
competitive potential in the global commodity markets. The existence of
institutional and financial mechanisms to facilitate rapid reorientation of the
economy towards more technologically adapted production determines its
flexibility. First of all, the reorientation related to the search for more
effective ways to manufacture existing products, which was broken on the
optimality of the RI and find new open markets, life cycle is at the beginning.
Strategy of identification of violations of optimality in the market of
innovations includes the study and analysis of the magnitude of the impact of
new technologies on the productivity of unit labour engaged in the production of
a competitive product to the real economy in the long term for a number of
countries. In 1999 a Spanish macroeconomist Jordi Gali suggested a method to
identify the level of influence of innovations on the productivity of the whole
economy using vector autoregressive model with the condition that only new
technologies can improve productivity in the long run. The validity of this
approach was proven in 2002 by economists Neville Francis and Valerie Ramey.
After ranking of all sectors according to the level of productivity it is
necessary to analyze the state of competition in the relevant markets. As an
example of firms in oligopolistic and monopolistic market with high
productivity in most cases are representatives of the fifth technological
structure, due to the fact that even in a state monopoly market opened to
competitors due the high creativity in creating new product. This conclusion is
consistent with the principle of "continuous innovation process"
Russian economist Sergei Glazyev and the tenets of the new Keynesian school of
economic theory, whose representative is Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz .
References
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