Gladkaya V.A.

Scientific leader: Usikov V.A.

Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade named after Mykhalo Tugan-Baranovsky

Greenhouse-monetary effect

According to preliminary estimates, projects of Joint fulfillment in Kyoto protocol frames may provide Ukraine's min­ing and metallurgic enterprises with investments worth USD 250 mn for environmental upgrade.

         Although Ukrainian parliament has ratified Kyoto protocol back on February 4, 2004, it was recently that the government of the country undertook real steps to fulfill provisions of the document. And there are reasons.

The protocol was adopted in 1997 as an addendum to the UNO frame conven­tion on climate change prevention dated 1992. Main value of these supplements is that they fix volume restrictions on green­house gases (GHG) emission on a plane­tary scale. From 2008 till 2012, the states, which signed the protocol, made commit­ments to reduce emission of six types of gases that cause greenhouse effect (car­bon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, sul­fur hexafluoride, hydro-fluoro-carbons, and per-fluoro-carbons) by 5.2% as com­pared to 1990.

The protocol was signed by 121 coun­tries, which did not make it obligatory for realization though. It was necessary that countries accounting for no less than 55% of world GHG emission ratified it. The problem arose in 2001, when the USA with their por­tion of GHG emission at 25% of the world volume left the agreement having consid­ered its conditions of no benefit for them­selves.

In this situation, financial and economic mechanisms of Kyoto protocol could only turn valid if Russia, which has up to 17% of global emission of GHGs, joined the treaty. On November 5, 2004, the RF president signed Federal law on ratification of the pro­tocol. And as soon as November 22, Kofi Annan, the UNO general secretary, announced the date when Kyoto protocol would gain legal force - February 16, 2005.

However, legitimacy was given not only to higher environmental requirements to industrial enterprises as regards environ­mental effect. This day can be called the official opening of new "environmental" mar­ket of the world.

Kyoto supplement to the UNO frame convention on climate change prevention foresees so-called mechanisms of flexibility. The latter also secure the rules of trade in national quotas for GHG emission, following which an enterprise (state) polluting the atmosphere beyond the permitted limit may buy quota from enterprise (state), which pro­duced less greenhouse gas emission than allowed in the period under review.

The matter is about obligations of coun­tries and regions on reduction of GHG emission. For instance, from 2008 till 2012 the European Union should cut emission by 8%, while Japan and Canada - by 6%. In this light, Ukraine and Russia have special sta­tus, as they only committed to just maintain GHG emission volumes at the level of the year 1990. What it means for Ukraine is seen from the example with ferrous metal­lurgy - one of the main producers of green­house gases in Ukraine.

15 years ago, steel output level in back then Ukrainian Soviet Socialistic Republic was around 50 mn tons. And by results of 2004, domestic metallurgic enterprises pro­duced some 38.7 mn tons of steel. According to forecasts, in 2005 steel pro­duction by Ukraine should not exceed the level of 2004. Thus, thanks to steel casting stage alone Ukraine's ferrous metallurgy gets production reserve of 10-12 mn tons, free from Kyoto protocol limits. And annual volume of greenhouse emission, which could be produced from the mentioned vol­ume of steel making, may turn into the object of purchase and sale as a quota for greenhouse gas emission.

Commercial appeal here is that no mon­etary investment is required for product pro­motion. They only need status of entity, which has a right to visa permits for national quota use. Such opportunities could not avoid attention of particular persons. And in 2004   - early 2005 there were seen some attempts to legitimize sale of part of quota through emission of so-called guarantee let­ ters. This was of big interest to participants of carbon credit market in the EU, who used forward deal conditions to buy «available» quotas on the territory of the European Union and in other regions of the world.

Who knows how it would end, if not a mess in legislative process of Ukraine, which is already a proverb. Following the Kyoto protocol, trade in permits for greenhouse gases emission is a much bureaucratized process limited with a number of obligatory conditions. Of them, Ukraine only fulfilled one - namely, having joined the Kyoto proto­col. But, besides it, a whole system should be set up to estimate anthropogenic emis­sions from sources, while simultaneously the corresponding infrastructure must be launched in institutional and legal fields of the state. In the end of 2004 - beginning of 2005         this naturally has not been done yet.

It turns out, thus, that Ukraine can not sell emission quota legally. And local producers-issuers of greenhouse gases are simply not interested in serious level of "Kyoto" trade. At least, until the national quota decision is being made by the Ministry of nature or the Ministry of industrial policy (or even more - directly by the Cabinet of Ministers), not by management of particular industrial enterprise of the country. These thoughts have mainly caused consideration of the issue not only inside the walls of executive bodies, but also by parlia­ment members. Notable event was round-table discussion "Kyoto protocol and prospects of the Ukrainian economy mod­ernization", which was organized by the Parliament Committee for industrial policy and entrepreneurship on May 17, 2005. Participants of the meeting recognized another mainline approach to use of "Kyoto" flexibility mechanisms.

Ukrainian metallurgists have accomplished implementation of Kyoto provisions in the direction they were interested. The emphasis in the process shifted from "trade in air" towards necessity of environmental upgrade of Ukrainian industry, and so far everything works in the route of "joint implementation". But what is Its benefit as compared to trade?

Such mechanism of flexibility can not omit attention of local metallurgists. In this case, they may account to receive at least some money for "under-emission" of green­house gases of industrial Ukraine in geneal. Therefore, they are encouraged "to launch environmental steps while imple­menting general programs of technical upgrade of main production assets.