Economic science/4. Investment activities and stock markets

 

Tussayeva A.K.

Associate professor of University NARXOZ, the Republic of Kazakhstan

Investing in stocks of Kazakhstan issuers

An investment portfolio is a set of financial instruments for each investor. Investments are very urgent for today, as the securitization of the financial market is developing and the population draws attention to other investment tools other than the bank’s deposit.

Investment in a deposit in Kazakhstan has a number of advantages in comparison with the instruments of the stock market – there is no service charge,  deposit insurance system up to 10 million tenge, a convenient way of investing, as well as a developed branch network, "soft" conditions for withdrawing money before the due date. Despite the advantages of investing deposits, the only drawback is the limited income, which today varies from 13-15% on deposits in national currency.

Investors in Kazakhstan are offered various shares of Kazakhstan issuers. The program "People's IPO" was launched, where investors were offered to buy shares of national companies. The attractiveness of this program is that the initiator and organizer of the process was the state.

Stocks of the national companies will be sell on the stock exchange on equal terms with other KASE (Kazakhstan stock exchange) participants, respectively, and the price of their shares, too, may both rise and fall. Very carefully selected the most stable companies, demonstrating excellent growth prospects, to participate in the popular IPO and we can assume that the share price will show a positive trend in the long term, but no one can guarantee the complete absence of periodic price drops. It is always necessary to take into account macroeconomic factors that are not subject to certain companies.

Below are the companies whose shares are traded on the KASE and which were participants in the "People's IPO" program.

The first proposed company is - KEGOC JSC (KEGK). The company has an international Baa3 rating and has an upward trend after the IPO (picture 1). For the current year, the book value of the stock was 1394 tenge and exceeds the market value of the share by 1.92%.

The EPS index increased from 0.038 tenge (2015) to 0.087 tenge (2016), the excess was 0.049 tenge.

The company's effectiveness is proved by its profitability indicators - ROA, ROE, ROS. All indicators of profitability have a stable growth compared to last year. The figure below shows the dynamics of the stock from IPO to today.

                    Figure 1. Trend of stocks of KEGOC [1]

   As can be seen from the figure, the share price has a stable growth. The growth of the share compared to 2013 is 150%, compared to last year, 15%. These indicators prove that there is always a demand for shares of this company.

         The next company is KazTransOil JSC (KZTO). This company is engaged in oil transportation. Despite the price of oil, the company is developing dynamically and increasing working capital. Like the previous company, it has an international Baa3 rating.

         The book value of the share increased from 1476 tenge (2015) to 1512 tenge (2016), i.е. The increase in value was 2.43%. The EPS index was 0,115 tenge this year.

Figure 2. Trend of stocks of KZTO  [1]

We can see from the figure 2, the share price has a lot of trend. At first, it had flat trend and at the end 2013 year it rose sharply from 900 tenge to 1250 tenge. After it dropped and had downtrend and  flat in all 2015 year. At the beginning last year (2016 ) it has a stable growth.

Table 1 – Effectiveness of companies [1]     

Companies

ROA, %

ROE, %

2015

2016

Rate of increase,

%

2015

2016

Rate of increase,

%

KEGK

1,60

3,42

+1,82

2,73

6,17

+3,44

KZTO

5,96

5,98

+0,02

7,48

7,57

+0,09

 

 

 

 

 

 

 If we compare the company's data, then we can say that by the profitability indicators "KEGOC" are exceeded.

The program of the people's IPO is held at the initiative of the President to provide the opportunity for the Kazakhs to become co-owners of the country's leading companies. During the program, they will be offered shares of the largest, stable and promising state companies. Thus, the population is given the opportunity to take part in the incomes of these enterprises, but also, by attracting people to the stock market, to increase the investment culture in the country, to give impetus to the development of the exchange and the financial sector. Currently, there are all components for the successful implementation of IPO in Kazakhstan - these are attractive from the point of view of investors’ issuers, a fairly successful infrastructure and the immediate interest of potential investors, including accumulative pension funds [2].

IPO is a very promising tool for raising capital. The main advantages of an IPO can be attributed, firstly, access to long-term capital in the open market on much more favorable terms than resorting to credit bank resources, private loans or venture capital. So, the government's decision primarily placed shares of JSC KazTransOil and JSC KEGOC, as the most reliable market players. Secondly, it will improve the current financial condition of companies, increase the prestige and growth opportunities for business promotion. In addition, the company receives an estimate of the current market value, which is important when expanding the business through mergers and acquisitions, diversifying assets and using shares as collateral for obtaining a loan. Finally, IPO provides an opportunity to attract and retain highly qualified staff and, in the first place, key managers.

References

1.     www.kase.kz

2.     Tussayeva A.K., Masakova S.S. Investment direction of population in the Republic of Kazakhstan// Журнал Транзитная экономика, № 1(105) 2016, Алматы, С.4-10