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BERDYGULOVA G.E.,  PhD in Geography,

Associate Professor of Department of Global Studies.

Kazakh National Teaching University named after Abai,

Republic of Kazakhstan

 

ECONOMY OF THE REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN IN THE 20 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE

 

Special attention in this article is paid to oil and gas development, metallurgy, agriculture, construction of inter-country transportation routes in the territory of Kazakhstan, which define the current status and development of the economy of the country.

Modern Kazakhstan is a unitary state located in the heart of Eurasia.  In accordance with the Constitution, the territory of the country is indivisible.

After disintegration of the former USSR, alongside with other Republics, Kazakhstan gained independence on December, 16th, 1991, and it is currently called the Republic of Kazakhstan

Thanks to the dedication, will power, strength, and hard work of our people, within a historically short period of time, a new independent, sovereign state, the Republic Kazakhstan, emerged in the World Map.  The country is steadily developing, effectively utilizing its resources and potentials.  On August 30, 1995, the current Constitution of the Republic of Kazakhstan was adopted, and it became the Basic Law of the country, which we abide now.  Adoption of Constitution at that time became a symbol of final transition of our country to market economy.

After gaining independence, Kazakhstan changed from the old authoritarian-administrative and planned economy to a market economy.

The basis of market economy is denationalization of enterprises, privatization and creation of new forms of ownership (national, public stock companies, international joint ventures, etc.).

Development of Kazakhstan within the period of sovereignty is characterized by extensive and fundamental changes in the social and economic system of the country. Economic reform has been carried out in all spheres of economy, particularly in the housing sector, utilities, social security sector, and national legislation. In 2003 European Economic Union and the United States Congress recognized Kazakhstan as a country using market economy.  Priorities set by the President are very clearly defined, Kazakhstan has to become one of the fifty most competitive countries in the world. 

We achieved remarkable results in establishing a democratic state and civil society, transitioned to market economy and occupied a rightful place among developed countries of the world.

Today our Republic is proud of the progress of its economy. It is especially evident in comparison with many countries, experiencing significant economic problems due to financial and economic crisis.  According to some foreign experts and analysts, steady economic growth of Kazakhstan can be attributed to the increase of world prices for natural resource, that our country is rich with.

During the years of independence, many large enterprises were built in Kazakhstan, which utilize modern technology and high tech equipment in processing domestic natural resources.

In the beginning of 2011 the President of Kazakhstan has signed the Decree “On Declaring 2011 the Year of the 20th Anniversary of Independence of the Republic Kazakhstan». According to the Decree, the motto of the year is «20 Years of Peace and Creation».  Thank God, for two decades our land, rich with almost all elements of Mendeleyev’s table, did not experience any civil wars, which is not only the great achievement of the state government, but also the achievement of all people.

The main branches of economy in modern Kazakhstan are fuel and energy, particularly oil industry, coal mining, petrochemical industry, ferrous and non-ferrous metal industry, sheep breeding and a grain husbandry.

Vast natural resources are the major basis of economic progress of the Republic of Kazakhstan.  According to international experts, Kazakhstan, which territory is the 9th in the world, possesses over 6 % of world minerals, among them iron, copper, lead, as well as rare materials, such as uranium, etc.  Kazakhstan is among the top 10 countries in confirmed energy resources – oil, natural gas and coal.

Kazakhstan occupies the sixth place in the world in terns of natural resources.  In terms of natural resources per capita, Kazakhstan is one of the highest in the world.  Our country occupies the first place in the world in terms of tungsten and barite reserves.  It occupies the second place in the world in terns of chromite, uranium and phosphate reserves.  It occupies the third place in the world in terms of manganese reserves (following USA and Ukraine), forth place in the world in terns if lead and molybdenum reserves, and it occupies the eighth place in the world in terns of iron reserves.  Kazakhstan is ahead of many countries in terms of oil and gas reserves, and occupies first place in the world and in CIS in terms of ferrous and non-ferrous metals.

More than five thousand deposits of various minerals were discovered in Kazakhstan in the last few years.  Among them, there are 267 deposits of hydrocarbons, 560 deposits of metallic minerals, 50 deposits of coal, 54 deposits of uranium, 1,285 deposits of groundwater, 2,624 deposits of various minerals.

Thanks to strategic economic development program, developed by the Government, Kazakhstan achieved remarkable success in the years of independence. 

Compared to other CIS countries, Kazakhstan’s economy grows rapidly, with its GDP growth annual rate of 9-11%.

The Republic of Kazakhstan is rich in mineral resources, vast agricultural lands, skilled personnel, remarkable industrial potential. Modern Kazakhstan has an active market economy.

As per Kazakh Agency of Statistics, ten years ago GDP per capita was hardly more than 700 US Dollars, in 2004 it grew to 2,700 US Dollars, and in 2009 the GDP per capita increased to 5,400 US Dollars. In his Address to the People of Kazakhstan, the President of Kazakhstan stated that beginning of 2011 the GDP per capita reached 9,000 US Dollars, and by 2015 it will reach 15,000 US Dollars.

In 2002 international rating agency Moody’s upgraded Kazakhstan to Baa3, thus Kazakhstan reached investment grade status.

In the years of independence, more than 120 billion USD in foreign direct investment were attracted in the economy of Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan attracts more foreign direct investment per capita than other countries in the CIS 

Among the major investors in economy of Kazakhstan are the United States of America, Netherlands, United Kingdom, Russia, Canada, China, South Korea and Japan.

Foreign investors are confident that Kazakhstan is a reliable partner, which guarantees stability and mutually beneficial cooperation.

In the last few years Kazakhstan started investing in other countries economies, in particular, Kazakhstan invested in construction Gudon hydroelectric power station, grain terminal to Baku (Azerbaijan) and in Amirabada (Iran).  It also invested in acquiring oil refineries in Ukraine and Belarus.

Beginning of 2005, international reserves of Kazakhstan, including National Fund ($ 5.3 billion) were over 14 billion US Dollars. Today, September 1, 2011 international reserves of National Bank amounted to 32,062 billion US Dollars.  Total international reserves of the country, including National Fund assets, are 59 billion US Dollars.

Kazakhstan is important to world energy market stability, because it is one of the top ten countries in terms of significant oil, natural gas and coal reserves.

Oil sector is a major part of Kazakhstan economy.   Kazakhstan is not a member of OPEC, but it possesses 3% of world reserves of hydrocarbons.  It has many good reasons for striving to strengthen its position in the global energy market.

Oil and gas industry occupies 21 per cent of GDP.   Oil and gas exports rose from 32 per cent to 64 per cent.  Share of oil and gas in the State budget income, including deposits to the National Fund, is 40% to 63%. Overall, the share of the raw material sector in 2009 amounted to 62%.

As per experts of College of political decisions RFGNUM, oil production is currently 85 million tons.  Natural gas production is 54 billion cubic meters, and by 2020 the country will extract 130 million tons of oil.  Stability of delivery is a major factor.  Kazakhstan does not have sea ports, but has favorable strategic location in terms of energy resources delivery. These opportunities will become even more favorable. In 2010 Kazakhstan exported 73 million tons of oil, versus export of 68 million tons of oil in 2009, which is 5,5 % yearly increase. The country can supply 80-100 million tons of oil yearly, for 40-50 years.  During the period of time from 1995-2010 104 billion US Dollars were invested in hydrocarbon industry by foreign and domestic investors.

Kazakhstan is a vast oil-producing country, however it occupies 100th place in the world in terms of gasoline production quality.  Therefore, we need to import gasoline #96, and jet fuel.  As per government official statement, modernization of oil refining plants will take 5 more years.

Kazakhstan, along with Russia, is interested in Caspian off-shore development.  More than 120 forecasted deposits were discovered in the Kazakhstan sector of Caspian sea. Projected reserves are estimated as 8 billion tons of natural resources, including 4,5 billion tons of oil.  Currently, Today, 8 oil and gas oil fields are being developed in the Caspian off shore.

During the World economic forum on Middle East in 2008, President of Kazakhstan signed an agreement on development of Caspian Energy Hub (CAH).   This project will unite all countries of the Caspian region, in order to lead the Republic of Kazakhstan to economic integration.

According to the official resources, this project will cost 15 billion US Dollars, and will be implemented in 2010-2015.

Energy hub was developed in Qatar for countries of Persian Gulf countries.  Similar project named “Aktau City” will be implemented in Kazakhstan. Aktau city is a very favorable location for such an energy hub.   80% of all energy reserves of this region are located in Mangystau, and according to the results of the study performed by the international agency “Titch”, investment rating of this region is stable. Therefore, many world known oil and gas companies are eager to invest in this region.

CAH is a hub that combines all major oil and gas companies, providing them with all supporting industries and a various services. Oil and gas extracted in the Caspian region must to be processed here and should be refined and exported to other countries.

In view of internal and world demand for petrochemical products, an oil refinery complex is being built near the town of Tengiz in Atyrau oblast, for production of styrene and polystyrene.

In terms of uranium deposits, Kazakhstan holds the leading position in the world, being only second to Australia (26% of world reserves and 56% of CIS reserves are located in Kazakhstan).  1 million tons of uranium reserves are located in the territory of Kazakhstan, out of total 4 million tons of world uranium.  More than 60 thousand tons of uranium are annually extracted in the world. Kazakhstan occupies the first place in the world in uranium extraction, producing 15 tons of uranium by the end of 2009.  In 2010, uranium mining increased to 17,588 tons.  Current objective is increasing uranium production to 19,000 tons annually.

Ulbinsk metallurgic plant processes uranium and produces uranium powder for nuclear power plants. Kazakhstan supplies uranium fuel to the United States, Russia, countries of European Union, and Japan.

Kazakhstan is a major exporter of oil, natural gas, coal, ferrous and nonferrous metals.

Commercial tourism, oil and gas production, engineering, food processing and textile industries, providing transportation and logistics services, establishment of special hubs in metallurgy and construction are major aspects of the economy of Kazakhstan.

 

In recent years in Kazakhstan, great attention is paid to the construction of international export routes.  A major gas pipeline was constructed in Turkmenistan-Uzbekistan-Kazakhstan, via Khorgos in China, aiming at exporting 10 billion cubic meters of gas.  A major highway, 2,787 km long, is being constructed between Western Europe and Western China.  Construction of a railway between  Zhetygen, Almaty region, and  Khorgos, China, is almost finished.   Construction of Beyneu-Bozoy-Shimkent was launched in 2010, which will be completed in 2015.

Agro-Industrial complex, and grain production in particular, is a major sector of the economy of Kazakhstan. 20,8 million tons of gain were produced in Kazakhstan, however, in 2010 grain production fell to 13.6 million of tons. These fluctuations are due to Kazakhstan’s climatic conditions.  Half of the grain is harvested in the Northern regions of Kazakhstan and in Kostanai region.

In spite of challenging weather conditions, this year farmers of the Republic' of Kazakhstan were able to achieve excellent results in grain production. Gross grain harvest was about 21 million tons of grain in bunker weight.  It was the second record high harvests over the past five years.

Kazakhstan is one of the leaders among the countries of the CIS, and in the world, in terms of export of durum wheat.  Based on the amount of yearly grain production, Kazakhstan exports approximately 5-8 million tons of grain to the world marking, occupying the 5th place in the world in terms of grain export.  In addition, Kazakhstan exports 2 million tons of flour and is the leading exporter of flour in the world. In recent years flour-milling industry in Kazakhstan has significantly grown, and it currently occupies majority of the regional market in Central Asia and in Afghanistan.

In recent years, the number of livestock in Kazakhstan has increased. As of July 1, 2011, Kazakhstan occupies the first place among the CIS countries in terms of amount of sheep and goats (22,227.4 million heads),  it occupies the second place, after Russia, in terms of amount of cattle (6,878.1 million,), and it is the third after Russia and Ukraine in terms of amount of  pigs (1,643.0 million).

Cotton production complex is being established in Southern Kazakhstan, for cotton growing, harvesting, and fine processing. 

Cotton and wool are major agricultural export commodities in Kazakhstan and they are most commonly exported to China.   Cotton export takes 15% of agricultural export, and wool takes 25% of total agricultural export of Kazakhstan.

However, from 1990 to 2010, the total investment in agriculture decreased by 10%, and as a result, food prices in Kazakhstan grew 12,8% during 2011.   

As per expert evaluation, prioritized development of oil and gas sector is unable to ensure steady long term growth throughout the national economy. Therefore, a strategic goal has been developed to use this sector as a “driving force” for active development of all other sectors of economy.  Innovative Industrial Development Strategy of Kazakhstan (IIDS) was created for this purpose, and it should be implemented before the first half of 2015/

Cabinet of Ministers is planning to allocate 14.9 billion Tenge in 2011 for implementation of this program.   19.9 billion Tenge will be funded by the state funds, remaining amount will be funded by private investors.

The main goal of the Strategy is diversification of all sectors of Kazakhstan’s economy and transition from extraction-based development to service and technology based model of economy.

One of the main priorities in terms of bringing Kazakhstan to the level of the most competitive and growing countries of the world, is development of its economy in accordance with world globalization trends.  The Kazakhstan Government is committed to implement  breakthrough projects of international importance,  to establish enterprises for the production of export oriented goods,  establish joint ventures in oil and gas, chemical industry, engineering and agricultural industries.  It is planned to establish biotechnology centers with participating international companies and experts.

Development of small and medium-sizes businesses plays important role in modern economic policy of Kazakhstan. The economic effect of small and medium-sized businesses in Kazakhstan is 1.5 times lower compared to developed countries.   Share of small and medium-sized businesses amounts to 31 per cent, even though 92 per cent of all enterprises fall into the category of small and medium sized businesses. 

Share of small and medium-sized businesses in the USA is approximately 52 per cent, in Italy – 57 per cent, in Korea – 50%.  Uzbekistan – 52,5 per cent.

Government of Kazakhstan made a decision to raise the share small and medium sized businesses in the total GDP level to 40 per cent, by 2020.  Therefore, the Government of Kazakhstan declared 2011 the "Year of Small and Medium-Sized Businesses.

The impact of the global financial and economic crisis severely affected the socio-economic development of most countries in the world. But Kazakhstan managed to maintain high economic growth and successfully created a solid foundation for further sustainable development.

In 2010, Kazakhstan achieved GDP growth of 7.5 per cent, industrial production growth was 10.5%, and most importantly, manufacturing industries account for 19 per cent of this growth.  Inflation rate in 2010 was 7.8 per cent.

“A Map of Industrialization” was created in Kazakhstan, which outlines 294 projects costing about 8 trillion Tenge.  152 investment projects were launched in 2002, with total investment of 801.8 billion Tenge.

2011 will become the year of a steady growth of the Kazakhstan economy.

In 2011, it is planned to implement a project for the modernization of existing enterprises. It should cover approximately 200 enterprises

Special emphasis is made on the manufacturing industry in this project.  A large number of manufacturing enterprises will be developed with the goal of producing goods with high added value.  Great expectations in Kazakhstan are based on rich natural resources, particularly oil and gas reserves, which will ensure prosperity of the country and enable implementation of vast economic and social reforms.

As we know, in 2010, Republic of Kazakhstan, Russia and Belarus signed the Customs Union Agreement which came into force June, 1, 2011.  Frontier territories of Kazakhstan will play significant role in Kazakhstan’s economy, since the Customs Union Agreement eases basic business processes in these regions.

As per National Bank estimate, GDP growth this year will be 7 per cent.  Inflation will remain on the last year’s level, 6,0 to 8,0 per cent.

 

Literature

1.       Nurgaliev K.R., Nurgaliev A.K. Economy of Kazakhstan. Almaty, Ziyat Press, 2007.

2.       Akhmetov E.A., Berdygulova G.E. Economical and social geography of Kazakhstan. Almaty, 2011.

3.       http://www/histopora/php.

4.       http://www.invest.com/journals/48/81.html

5.       http://www.usmet.ru/news.php?=show_news_item&id=4245