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Student Boiko A. I.

Donetsk national university of economics and trade named after Mykhailo Tugan-Baranovsky, Ukraine

Trade wars in the 21st century

 

Barely five years into the 21st  century, with a globalized neo-liberal trade regime firmly in place in a world where market economy has become the norm, trade protectionism appears to be fast re-emerging and developing into a new global trade war of complex dimensions [1].

A trade war refers to two or more nations raising or creating tariffs or other trade barriers on each other in retaliation for other trade barriers. Increased protection causes both nations' output compositions to move towards their autarky position. Poor countries are more vulnerable than rich countries in trade wars; in raising protections against dumping of cheap products, it risks making the product too expensive for its people to afford [2].

Since the 1960s, world trade politics has become multilateral rather than bilateral. This has not eliminated trade wars, but has made them multilateral also. If the EU declares war on US hormone-fortified beef and export subsidies, then the USA may declare war on EU luxury goods and Caribbean bananas [3].

The world is at war again - over trade. Governments and producers squabble over beef, bananas, steel and other goods. Once again some countries try to 'protect' their faltering industries behind trade barriers.
Let’s take a look at the dangers facing the world economy.

Free trade in peril
        Trade disputes have a habit of turning into bitter conflicts. Most times, both sides lose out.
        To prevent such frictions, 134 countries have agreed on trading rules and joined the World Trade Organisation (WTO) to mediate disputes. But the WTO's authority is under threat.

The beef war
         Is beef from cattle reared using growth hormones safe for human consumption? The EU says no, blocking all imports. The United States says this amounts to protectionism. The WTO has now allowed the US to impose sanctions worth $116m - far less than the original US demands of up to $900m. The next trade war is about to break out.

The leadership battle
         For three months the WTO was without a leader, as member countries squabbled over who should be the organisation's next director general. After a contest sullied by accusations of mudslinging, the two candidates, New Zealand's Mike Moore or Thailand's Supachai Panitchpakdi, agreed to share the job, but the WTO's reputation suffered from the dispute.

The banana war
        The US government scored an important victory over the European Union when the WTO agreed that Caribbean banana producers were getting preferential treatment from the EU. The US retaliated swiftly with half a billion dollars worth of tariffs.

The steel war
        The devaluation of the Asian currencies last year led to a flood of cheap steel in world markets. Japanese steel exports to the US surged a massive 400% last year - causing an outcry among hard-pressed American steel manufacturers. Washington wants WTO action [4].

Within US policy circles, the rapid rise of China as a major force in the global economy is provoking a reconsideration of whether free trade is still in the US national interest.

The prospect that China can be a major economic power is feeding widespread paranoia in the United States. The fear is that developing nations, led by China and India, may out-compete the advanced nations for high-tech jobs while keeping the low-skill, labor-intensive manufacturing jobs they already own. China already is the world's biggest producer and exporter of consumer electronics and it is a matter of time before it becomes a major player in auto exports [5].

In conclusion, it is necessary to outline the basic points of the paper. In modern international economic relations such problem as trade wars exists. Poor countries are more vulnerable than rich countries in trade wars. Trade wars exist in such forms as free trade in peril, the beef war, the leadership battle, the banana war and the steel war. The largest-scale trade war is between China and the USA.

 

References:

1.  Henry C K Liu The coming trade war and global depression
// The Asia Times online. – 2005. – Jun 16

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Global_Economy/GF16Dj01.html

2. Trade war //

http://en.academic.ru/dic.nsf/enwiki/248088

3. Business Dictionary: Trade War// Answers.com The leading Q&A site http://www.answers.com/topic/trade-war

4. World trade wars // BBC News. – 1999. 27 July

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/342821.stm

5. Henry C K Liu Trade wars can lead to shooting wars
 // The Asia Times online. – 2005. – Aug 20

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Global_Economy/GH20Dj01.html