Ïèëü Ý.À.

Àêàäåìèê ÐÀÅ, ä.ò.í., ïðîôåññîð

 

THEORY OF THE FINANCIAL CRISES (PART IV)

 

Earlier in his articles the author has shown that in order to describe the economic processes that occur in the economy of a country it is possible to apply the shell theory, in its application to the spheres [1, 4]. Besides, the author has also described in the articles the boundaries of existence of economic shells of small-, medium- and big-sized businesses which may be influenced by both external and internal forces [2, 3]. The author suggests in the following article to employ shell, and, to be more specific - its surface which will make it possible to use six different variables during calculation of the GDP.

Gross domestic product (GDP) can be calculated by the three following methods:

1.     as the sum of gross value added (production method);

2.     as the sum of end-use components (end-use method);

3.     as the sum of primary income (distribution method).

In this case the various variables may be used in the calculation, in particular such as: consuming capacity, investments, governmental expenditures, exports, imports and the like. In the material presented below the calculation formula of surface of the economic shell Seu was used, to which corresponds the GDP of the country, that is Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5, Õ6). Here Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5 and Õ6 are the variables which have an impact on the GDP of the country.

By analysing the formula it is possible to identify the variables' characteristics which influence on the Seu (GDPeu), and which will be as follows:

·        where the Õ1 variable is increased, the economic shell surface Seu GDPeu increases too

·        where the Õ2 variable is increased, the economic shell surface Seu (GDPeu) increases more profoundly compared to the increase of variable X1;

·        where the Õ3 variable is increased, the economic shell surface Seu (GDPeu) decreases;

·        where the Õ4 variable is increased, the economic shell surface Seu (GDPeu) increases. In such a case the X4 variable may approach to numeral one only asymptotically;

·        where the Õ5 variable is increased, the economic shell surface Seu (GDPeu) decreases;

·        where the Õ6 variable is increased, the economic shell surface Seu (GDPeu) increases less profoundly compared to the increase of variable X4. In such a case the X6 variable may approach to numeral one only asymptotically.

It should immediately be noted that during calculation and plotting of construction drawings, the parameters Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5 and Õ6 could be constant values, increase or decrease by 10 times. On the basis of the calculations made, 82 graphics were built, which can be divided into the four following groups:

  parameter values Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5 and Õ6 increase and are constant;

  parameter values Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5 and Õ6 decrease and are constant;

  parameter values Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5 and Õ6 decrease and increase;

  parameter values Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5 and Õ6 are constant, they decrease and increase.

It is worth mentioning here in this context that the number of the graphs that may be plotted with the six variables is significantly greater. Therefore the author has selected such options of the variables' values which will more precisely show the variables' influence onto the GDP calculation.

Figure 1 shows the 2D graph of Seu (GDPeu) dependency with Õ1 = 1, Õ2 = Õ3 = Õ5 = 1…10, Õ4 = Õ6 = 0.1…0.99 from which it is clear that the Seu values initially decrease by 5.07 times, and afterwards increase by 3.58 times. The minimal value of the Seu (GDPeu) falls on point 7, and is equal to 2.44. Figure 2 shows two 3D-graphs which give the possibility to more illustratively present the changes in the Seu. In this particular case it is essential to have the values of the extreme points, since with such values the Seu value, and finally the GDPeu, will be maximal.

Fig. 1. Dependence Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5, Õ6)

when Õ1 = 1, Õ2 = Õ3 = Õ5 = 1…10, Õ4 = Õ6 = 0.1…0.99

a

b

Fig. 2. 3D-graphics: a - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ2, Õ1); b - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ5, Õ3)

when Õ1 = 1, Õ2 = Õ3 = Õ5 = 1…10, Õ4 = Õ6 = 0,1…0.99

Fig. 3. Dependence Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5, Õ6)

when Õ1 = Õ2 = 1…10, Õ3 = Õ5 = 1, Õ4 = Õ6 = 0.99

 

a

b

Fig. 4. 3D-graphics: a - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ1, Õ2); b - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ5, Õ2)

Fig. 5. Dependence Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5, Õ6)

when Õ1 = 1, Õ2 = Õ3 = Õ5 = 1…0.1, Õ4 = Õ6 = 0.99…0.1

From the next Figure 3 it is clear that when Õ1 = Õ2 = 1…10, Õ3 = Õ5 = 1, Õ4 = Õ6 = 0.99 the plotted curve Seu grows in full swing from the value 194,89 up to 6.03Å+06, that is - it increases by 30944.44 times. Figure 4 shows two types of the present dependency in way of 3D-graphs. Such option is the most preferred one, since the biggest increase of the values Seu (GDPeu) takes place under the influence of external forces.

In Figure 5 we may see that the Seu curve plotted has also the minimum of 42.56 in point 4, after which its values increase. This figure was plotted under the following values of the variables: Õ1 = 1, Õ2 = Õ3 = Õ5 = 1…0.1, Õ4 = Õ6 = 0.99…0.1. Here, it is also important to select the variables in extreme points, since in this case the economy of the country in question will have the maximal values of the Seu. The depicted Seu curve plotted in Figure 5 is presented by two 3D-graphs in Figure 6.

a

b

Fig. 6. 3D-graphics: a - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ2, Õ1); b - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ2, Õ5)

when Õ1 = 1, Õ2 = Õ3 = Õ5 = 1…0.1, Õ4 = Õ6 = 0.99…0.1

Fig. 7. Dependence Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5, Õ6)

when Õ1 =  1…10, Õ2 = 1…0.1, Õ3 = Õ5 = 1, Õ4 = Õ6 = 0.99

Figure 7 depicts the Seu curve which has its maximum of 261.41 in point 4. Consequently, use of the following values of variables Õ1 = 1…10, Õ2 = 1…0.1, Õ3 = Õ5 = 1, Õ4 = Õ6 = 0.99 is quite expedient at the values which are close to the maximal ones. Figure 8 shows three examples of 3-dimensional surfaces Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5, Õ6).

As it is clear from Figure 9, here the Seu values have their minimum of 80.18 in point 2, after which they grow up to 407.26, and then drop down to zero, since the Seu calculations have no solutions with the subsequent values of the variables. During plotting of Figures 9 and 10 the following variables were used: Õ1 = 1…10, Õ2 = Õ3 = Õ5 = 1…0.1, Õ4 = 0.99…0.1, Õ6 = 0.99. Here, the four types of 3D-graphs are shown, which are presented in Figure 10.

 

a

b

c

Fig. 8. 3D-graphics: a - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ2, Õ1); b - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ5, Õ1)

c - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ3, Õ2)

when Õ1 =  1…10, Õ2 = 1…0.1, Õ3 = Õ5 = 1, Õ4 = Õ6 = 0.99

Fig. 9. Dependence Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5, Õ6)

when Õ1 = 1…10, Õ2 = Õ3 = Õ5 = 1…0.1, Õ4 = 0.99…0.1, Õ6 = 0.99

a

b

c

d

Fig. 10. 3D-graphics: a - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ1, Õ2); b - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ1, Õ6);

c - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ3, Õ2); d - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ2, Õ6);

when Õ1 = 1…10, Õ2 = Õ3 = Õ5 = 1…0,1, Õ4 = 0,99…0,1, Õ6 = 0,99

Fig. 11. Dependence Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5, Õ6)

From the following Figure 11 it is obvious that the plotted Seu-curve has its maximal value of Seu = 16552.23 in point 7. This particular Figure was plotted with Õ1 = 1…0.1, Õ2 = 1…10, Õ3 = Õ5 = 1, Õ4 = Õ6 = 0.99. The two Figures 12 show the way how the presented Seu-curve changes in the three-dimensional space.

a

b

Fig. 12. 3D-graphics: a - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ3, Õ1); b - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ5, Õ2)

when Õ1 = 1…0.1, Õ2 = 1…10, Õ3 = Õ5 = 1, Õ4 = Õ6 = 0.99

 

Fig. 13. Dependence Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5, Õ6)

when Õ1 = 1, Õ2 = Õ5 = 1…0.1, Õ3 = 1…10, Õ4 = 0.1…0.99, Õ6 = 0.99

The following Figure 13 represents the Seu (GDPeu) curve when Õ1 = 1, Õ2 = Õ5 = 1…0.1, Õ3 = 1…10, Õ4 = 0,1…0.99, Õ6 = 0.99. From this 2D-graph it is seen that the plotted curve has its minimum of 9.88 in point 2, after which is gets its maximum of 10.93 in point 3, and next their values drop down to zero. The last Figure 14 displays the four types of three-dimensional surfaces Seu (GDPeu) for the curve plotted in Figure 13.

After the calculations were completed, their results were combined into the summary table, which gave totally 110 lines, in spite of the fact that only 82 two-dimensional graphs have been plotted. This resulted from the fact that a number of the plotted graphs had their maximums and minimums. The relationships were introduced into this summary table as the following:

·        SeubSeuf, where Seub - is the initial surface value of financial shell, unit2; Seuf - is the final value of the surface of financial shell, unit2;

·        Seuf/Seub- is the relation of financial shell final surface value to its initial surface.

a

b

c

d

Fig. 14. 3D-graphics: a - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ1, Õ2); b - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ1, Õ6);

c - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ3, Õ2); d - Seu (GDPeu) = f(Õ2, Õ6);

when Õ1 = 1, Õ2 = 1…0.1, Õ3 = 1…10, Õ4 = 0.1…0.99, Õ5 = 1…0.1, Õ6 = 0.99

The ratio of finite surface of the economic shell Seuf to the initial Seub shows by how many times the surface of the economic shell increased (decreased), that is Seu (GDPeu), under the influence of various external forces onto the one. Hence, by obtaining these data we may choose such values of variables Õ1, Õ2, Õ3, Õ4, Õ5 and Õ6, with which the surface of the economic shell remains invariable, or even grows further under influence of external forces. This means that in case of economical crisis, the selected values of the variables will make it possible to stay on the previous level, or even to increase the GDP of the country. After the Table had been plotted with its 110 lines available, it was converted in the following way, by having left only those values where Seuf/Seub ≥ 1. On the basis of such conversion the final table had been obtained, which contained 63 lines, which then was shortened down to 40 lines where the values of the ratio Seuf/Seub in column 8 were located in descending order (refer to Table 1). As it is seen from the calculated data in Table 1 the ratios Seuf/Seub start with 53166.38 and end up with 1.0. This indicates that for the example in question the economy may maximally increase even under the pressure onto the ellipsoidal economic shell as by 53166.38 times, as compared to the initial state with the following values of the variables, being Õ1 = 1, Õ2 = 1…10, Õ3 = Õ5 = 1…0.1, Õ4 = Õ6 = 0.99…0.1.. Yet maximal growth of the economic shell will take place in this particular case with 1.0 at Õ1 = 1, Õ2 = Õ3 = 1…0.1, Õ4 = 0.1…0.99, Õ5 = 1…10, Õ6 = 0.99.

The next Table 2 was plotted on the basis of Table 1 in which the data obtained were split into groups by the number of variables used. As it is seen from Table 2 the data presented in it were grouped into 6 groups, starting from the group with one variable, and ending up with the group where all the variables were used. It is also seen from this table that the biggest group was presented by the group containing four variables.

Due to the fact that variable X2 characterises the thickness of the economic shell it means that if it was accepted as the single unit (Õ2 = 1) then Table 2 will change into Table 3 where there will be only 20 lines instead of 40. The X2 variable may be characterized as the ratio of national currency exchange rate to a currency used in international settlements (US dollar, Euro, etc.).

As a result the following conclusions may be made:

1.       Utilization of different values of the variables makes it feasible to increase the GDP of the country, and in a number of instances to increase quite significantly and to lift the economy out of crisis;

2.       During selection of the variables' values it is necessary to select such group in which the number of variables under consideration is minimal;

3.       During selection of the variables' values it is necessary to select such variables which are less subject to changes.

 

Table 1. Statistics of theoretical relation Seuf /Seub, where Seuf /Seub ≥ 1 in descending order

No. in sequence

Õ1

Õ2

Õ3

Õ4

Õ5

Õ6

SeubSeuf. åä.2

(GDÐeubGDÐeuf. $)

Seuf / Seub

(GDÐeuf / GDÐeub)

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1.      

1

1…10

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

281.61…1.50Å+07

53166.38

2.      

1…10

1…10

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1

0.99

194.89…1.02Å+07

52231.12

3.      

1…10

1…10

1

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…6.03Å+06

30944.36

4.      

1

1…10

1…0.1

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…6.03Å+06

30944.36

5.      

1

1…10

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

1

0.99

14.36…1.91Å+05

13280.39

6.      

1

1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

79.16…4.73Å+05

5980.97

7.      

1

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

7.09…8871.41

1250.53

8.      

1

1

1

0.99

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

281.61…280504.87

996.10

9.      

1

1…10

1

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…1.91Å+05

978.57

10.  

1…10

1…10

1…10

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…1.91Å+05

978.57

11.  

1

1…10

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

142.99…99734.86

697.47

12.  

1…10

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1

0.99

14.36…6034.81

420.24

13.  

1

1

1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

61.96…14973.34

241.67

14.  

1

1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

8.65…1467.03

169.68

15.  

1

1…10

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.99

13.77…2090.08

151.83

16.  

1…10

1…0.1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

162.05…14973.34

92.40

17.  

1…10

1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

177.83…6787.10

68.36

18.  

1

1

1

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

8.65…519.37

60.07

19.  

1…10

1…10

1…10

0.99…0.1

1

0.99

194.89…10183.31

52.25

20.  

1

1

1

0.99

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

142.99…7059.34

49.37

21.  

1

1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

41.74…1307.04

31.31

22.  

1…10

1

1

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…6034.81

30.97

23.  

1

1…10

1…10

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…6034.81

30.97

24.  

1…10

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.99

13.77…292.55

21.25

25.  

1…10

1…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

1

0.99

14.36…194.89

13.57

26.  

1

1

1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

35.09…462.80

13.19

27.  

1

1…10

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…10

0.99

14.62…137.21

9.38

28.  

1…10

1…0.1

1…0.1

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…995.1

5.11

29.  

1

1

1…10

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

6.84…32.49

4.75

30.  

1

1

1

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.99

13.77…60.73

4.41

31.  

1

1…10

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.1…0.99

2.44…8.72

3.58

32.  

1

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.99…0.1

0.0011…0.0039

3.49

33.  

1

1

1

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.1…0.99

0.31…0.87

2.77

34.  

1…10

1…0.1

1

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…527.48

2.71

35.  

1

1

1

0.99

1

0.1…0.99

95.85…257.85

2.69

36.  

1

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.1…0.99

0.037…0.09

2.35

37.  

1

1…10

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.99

2.72…4.87

1.79

38.  

1

1…0.1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.99

9.88…10.93

1.11

39.  

1

1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…10

0.1…0.99

8.72…8.81

1.01

40.  

1

1…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.99

2.342…2.343

1.0

 

Table 2. The statistics of variable parameters for Seuf /Seub, where Seuf /Seub ≥ 1 in descending order for groups

No. in sequence

Õ1

Õ2

Õ3

Õ4

Õ5

Õ6

SeubSeuf. åä.2

(GDÐeubGDÐeuf. $)

Seuf / Seub

(GDÐeuf / GDÐeub)

 

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1 variable

1.      

1

1…10

1

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…1.91Å+05

978.57

2.      

1…10

1

1

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…6034.81

30.97

3.      

1

1

1

0.99

1

0.1…0.99

95.85…257.85

2.69

2 variables

4.      

1…10

1…10

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1

0.99

194.89…1.02Å+07

52231.12

5.      

1…10

1…10

1

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…6.03Å+06

30944.36

6.      

1

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

7.09…8871.41

1250.53

7.      

1

1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

8.65…1467.03

169.68

8.      

1

1…10

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.99

13.77…2090.08

151.83

9.      

1…10

1…10

1…10

0.99…0.1

1

0.99

194.89…10183.31

52.25

10.  

1

1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

41.74…1307.04

31.31

11.  

1…10

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.99

13.77…292.55

21.25

12.  

1…10

1…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

1

0.99

14.36…194.89

13.57

13.  

1

1…10

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…10

0.99

14.62…137.21

9.38

14.  

1…10

1…0.1

1…0.1

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…995.1

5.11

15.  

1

1

1…10

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

6.84…32.49

4.75

16.  

1

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.99…0.1

0.0011…0.0039

3.49

17.  

1

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.1…0.99

0.037…0.09

2.35

18.  

1

1…10

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.99

2.72…4.87

1.79

19.  

1

1…0.1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.99

9.88…10.93

1.11

20.  

1

1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…10

0.1…0.99

8.72…8.81

1.01

21.  

1

1…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.99

2.342…2.343

1.0

3 variables

22.  

1

1…10

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

1

0.99

14.36…1.91Å+05

13280.39

23.  

1…10

1…10

1…10

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…1.91Å+05

978.57

24.  

1…10

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1

0.99

14.36…6034.81

420.24

25.  

1

1

1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

61.96…14973.34

241.67

26.  

1

1

1

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

8.65…519.37

60.07

27.  

1

1

1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

35.09…462.80

13.19

28.  

1

1

1

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.1…0.99

0.31…0.87

2.77

3 variables

29.  

1

1…10

1…0.1

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…6.03Å+06

30944.36

30.  

1

1

1

0.99

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

281.61…280504.87

996.10

31.  

1

1

1

0.99

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

142.99…7059.34

49.37

32.  

1

1…10

1…10

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…6034.81

30.97

33.  

1

1

1

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.99

13.77…60.73

4.41

34.  

1…10

1…0.1

1

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…527.48

2.71

4 variables

35.  

1

1…10

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

281.61…1.50Å+07

53166.38

36.  

1

1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

79.16…4.73Å+05

5980.97

37.  

1

1…10

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

142.99…99734.86

697.47

38.  

1…10

1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

177.83…6787.10

68.36

39.  

1

1…10

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.1…0.99

2.44…8.72

3.58

all the variables

40.  

1…10

1…0.1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

162.05…14973.34

92.40

 

Table 3. The statistics of variable parameters for Seuf /Seub, where Seuf /Seub ≥ 1 and Õ2 = 1 in descending order for groups

No. in sequence

Õ1

Õ2

Õ3

Õ4

Õ5

Õ6

SeubSeuf. åä.2

(GDÐeubGDÐeuf. $)

Seuf / Seub

(GDÐeuf / GDÐeub)

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1 variable

1.               

1…10

1

1

0.99

1

0.99

194.89…6034.81

30.97

2.               

1

1

1

0.99

1

0.1…0.99

95.85…257.85

2.69

2 variables

3.               

1

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

7.09…8871.41

1250.53

4.               

1

1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

8.65…1467.03

169.68

5.               

1

1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

41.74…1307.04

31.31

6.               

1…10

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.99

13.77…292.55

21.25

7.               

1

1

1…10

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

6.84…32.49

4.75

8.               

1

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.99…0.1

0.0011…0.0039

3.49

9.               

1

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.1…0.99

0.037…0.09

2.35

10.           

1

1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…10

0.1…0.99

8.72…8.81

1.01

3 variables

11.           

1…10

1

1…10

0.1…0.99

1

0.99

14.36…6034.81

420.24

12.           

1

1

1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

61.96…14973.34

241.67

13.           

1

1

1

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

8.65…519.37

60.07

14.           

1

1

1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

35.09…462.80

13.19

15.           

1

1

1

0.1…0.99

1…10

0.1…0.99

0.31…0.87

2.77

4 variables

16.           

1

1

1

0.99

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

281.61…280504.87

996.10

17.           

1

1

1

0.99

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

142.99…7059.34

49.37

18.           

1

1

1

0.1…0.99

1…0.1

0.99

13.77…60.73

4.41

5 variables

19.           

1

1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

79.16…4.73Å+05

5980.97

20.           

1…10

1

1…0.1

0.99…0.1

1…0.1

0.1…0.99

177.83…6787.10

68.36

 

REFERENCES

1.     Pil E. A. Use of the shells' theory for purposes of description of processes taking place in economy // Àëüìàíàõ ñîâðåìåííîé íàóêè è îáðàçîâàíèÿ (Almanac of modern science and education). 2009. ¹3. P. 137-139

2.     Pil E. A. Influence of different variables onto economic shell of the country // Àëüìàíàõ ñîâðåìåííîé íàóêè è îáðàçîâàíèÿ (Almanac of modern science and education). 2012. ¹12 (67). P. 123-126

3.     Pil E.A. Variants of macroeconomics development after being affected by different forces // Materials of the XII International scientific and practical conference, «Prospect of world science - 2016», 30 July – 7 August. 2016 Volume 2. Economic science. Governance. Sheffield. Science and education. LTD. UK – 100 p. – P. 17–32

4.     Pil E.A. Theory of the financial crises // International Scientific and Practical Conference. Topical researches of the world science (June 20–21, 2015) Vol. IV Dubai, UAE. – 2015 – Ð. 44–56