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 PhD in Political Science Polyakov E.M.

 

Voronezh State University, Russia

 

Failed States, Warlords and non-legitimate Violence.

 

In the modern world has sharply increased the frequency of illegitimate violence, especially among the youth. Speaking about the causes of violence, Henrik Urdal emphasizes that in the event of large cohorts of young people are "stretching" of social institutions (e.g. labor market), which entails the strengthening of social dissatisfaction. It is this dissatisfaction with social freedom (i.e., lack of family and responsibility for anyone), and brings to life the youth violence [1, 5]. In another work he describes (in the form of hypotheses), the conditions under which there is a politically motivated violence. These include the presence of “youth bulge”, the political dependency, low economic growth, rapid expansion of higher education, the authoritarian nature of the regime and the level of urbanization. The higher each of these indicators, the greater will be the violence [2, 611-615].

It is easy to see that these conditions were typical for countries emerging “Arab spring”. These same countries (like Russia) maintained a policy of “catch-up modernization”. An important circumstance faced by all countries engaged in modernization - migration. First of all, it is labor migration within the country from small towns to cities - centers of industrialization and modernization. Cities depersonalize contacts of people in mass, and so create the necessary condition for the transition to open access orders. But more importantly, they are a mechanism for adsorbing the excess rural population, especially in high natural growth. Studies Helen Ware on the material of Oceania have shown that in countries with low urbanization (Solomon Islands, Papua - New Guinea) and strong emigration instability and violence occur more frequently than in countries with a share of the urban population of more than 40% and a strong internal migration from rural to of [3, 3-7]. However, we must not forget that although the city offers more features and provides a higher standard of living, this level does not increase gradually but dramatically changed, and once when you move. In combination with the lack of self (i.e., transition opportunities into reality in the form of quality education, career, etc.), the city can turn into a kind of social drives of aggression and splash it in the most unpredictable time in the form of uncontrolled violence.

It is interesting to note that in transitional societies illegitimate violence often takes the form of terrorism, and in a sense, like the violence of primitive tribes. As shown above considered the works of anthropologists, in archaic societies, violence is often a ritual or has a symbolic nature. The true object of violent acts is not the one to whom they are directed. Most often, it serves society. For example, if the need to isolate one of the members of the tribe of relatives, he is killed or banished. Here the object (i.e., those for whom the action is directed and from whom they expect a certain effective reactions) is more public than the one of isolated individual.
A similar situation is observed in the implementation of the attacks. The object is to impact society, or part thereof (e.g., administrative and managerial staff), though the violence is directly facing either the military or innocent civilians. In a broad sense, terrorism is the unlawful use of force or violence against persons or property to intimidate or coercion of the government, the civilian population or their components in political or social objectives [4, 72].

That is, terrorism is organically linked with the pressure on the government, based on a physical threat. The main reason for “the success of violence” of terrorists may be a social collapse, more precisely, its consequences - is not accidental splash of terrorist activity we see in so-called “failed states”, which are in the process of decay and disintegration. Carl Butzer in his work shows that the collapse of complex societies is under the influence of several factors of which are limiting the economic downturn, the lack of critical resources, time frames, as well as political and cultural flexibility [5, 3632-3639]. However, only the last two factors are crucial, and the previous are only responsible for the scale of the collapse, but not for the fact of its occurrence. “Failed states” have the following characteristics:

- Availability of civil wars or foreign invasions;

- Ethnic, religious or linguistic strife;

- The state does not fully control its territory and borders;

- Weak central institutions, dependent courts and the lack of democracy;

- The collapse of infrastructure and corruption;

- A sharp increase in the income gap between rich and poor;

- Finally, the use of military force the executive branch [6, 3].

In this regard, one should especially consider the situation in Russia. It is a unique phenomenon: the state of the developed world in transition, and social system in which the demand for violence. Monitoring data from the World Fund for the past few years (2006-2011), which is calculated based on the Failed States Index said that the main difficulties in collapsed states cause the presence of refugees and displaced persons, the disunity of the elites, the low legitimacy of the state and ineffective intelligence apparatus [See: 7]. At the very least, these figures relate to the control of violence. And they troubled countries (Somalia, Afghanistan, Chad, Sudan, etc., occupying first place in the annual rankings of the Fund) is most often equal to 10.0 (maximum theoretically possible on a scale from 0.0 to 10.0) or slightly deviate from it (no more than 0.5 points). Note that other criteria are rarely more than 8.0 points.

To explain this strange is capable concept of warlords. They are the rulers whose control a certain area is based on military power. The territory controlled by warlord, usually coincides with the boundaries of the settlement group from which it takes place (ethnic, social, professional, religious). He enjoys certain legitimacy and replaces or subjugates the functions, institutions and resources of the state. In this economy often is mixed and reduced to one or another illegal activity, although not confined within this area [8, 9]. The key point is the legitimacy and effectiveness of violence: although Warlord replaces the state, his power and violence do not become illegitimate, as is the case with terrorist organizations. On the contrary, reliance on fear and physical violence can create and maintain a semblance of order (based on power rather than on the right), and the personal nature of the power elite united on the basis of shaky consensus. The ruling group is afraid of changes in leadership since the emergence of a new warlord inevitably means a redistribution of wealth, influence and power.

On the material of the study of Rwanda, Iraq and Kosovo, Rada, Peter came to the conclusion that to change this regime requires the following conditions: security, democratic institutions, stability and nation-building, economic development [6, 7-11]. Accordingly, such a regime has a certain stability and internal stability, whose shortcomings, however, are too large - they can not be transferred to a larger area or group and are based solely on the violence or the threat of its use.

 

References:

  1. Urdal H. The Devil in the Demographics: The Effect of Youth Bulges on Domestic Armed Conflict, 1950-2000 // Social Development Papers. Conflict prevention and reconstruction, Washington: World Bank, 2004, No.14.
  2. Urdal H. A Clash of Generations? Youth Bulges and Political Violence // International Studies Quarterly, 2006, No.50.
  3. Ware H. Pacific instability and youth bulges: the devil in the demography and the economy // 12th Biennial Conference of the Australian Population Association, Canberra, 15-17 September 2004.
  4. Coady C.A.J. Was ist Terrorismus? // Terror und der Krieg gegen ihn. Uffentliche Reflexionen. Ed. G. Meggle. - Paderborn, 2003.
  5. Butzer K.W. Collapse, environment, and society // PNAS, 2012, Vol.109, No.10.
  6. Rada P. Rebuilding of Failed States. Budapest, 2007
  7. http://www.fundforpeace.org/global/?q=fsi-about
  8. Williams P. Violent non-state actors and national and international security // Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, 2008.