Corresponding Member of the Russian Academy of Sciences,
Professor Tulokhonov A.K.
Transboundary
cooperation of
Russia in the West and East in the
context of globalization.
The collapse of the Soviet Union
fundamentally changed the political
situation in its old
borders. Nearly a third of area
of Russia reduced, and on its borders instead of the union republics appeared eight new states, with
independent foreign and domestic policy. On the territory of the former Warsaw Pact countries,
as well as Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia,
NATO troops there who very closely
approached to the main industrial centers
of Russia.
Thus, the foreign policy of
Russia differentiated according to the new geography. From the Soviet Union was leaving only the border with
Finland, Norway and Poland to the
west, and Mongolia, China and
North Korea to the east. At
present, the common interests of
the Customs Union are saved only with
Belarus and Kazakhstan. Rather complicated relations
persist with Ukraine, Georgia and Azerbaijan. Today, Russia
is the only country in the world,
which has at its borders with the countries of the neighborhood,
representing all four major world religions: Christianity, Catholicism,
Islam and Buddhism.
Adding these factors,
we can see that on the western borders
there are certain political barriers
in the face of the former Soviet republics and Warsaw Pact countries included in NATO. Against
this background of economic
recession of the Western countries
poses particular problems for foreign economic relations with Europe as a whole. With many political opponents
on the western borders, Russia is forced to turn to
the east, where over the past
decade with its participation created
new authoritative international organizations as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization,
with different status included the largest Asian powers,
including China, the Central Asian republics, India,
Pakistan, Mongolia and others. Huge financial resources are concentrated in
the BRICS countries composed of Russia, China, India, Brazil and South Africa.
Another negative factor was
the decline in European consumption of
Russian gas, which is forced
on the world market cheaper shale gas in the United States and the Middle East. As
a result, dramatically reduced
the volume of gas transfer through traditional and new pipelines as the
"Blue Stream", "South Stream", "Nord Stream". They were
built in the hope of developing
new fields in Jamal, the shelf
of the northern seas. Reduction in
consumer and accordingly "Gazprom"
income casts doubt on the prospects
of these fields.
In these
circumstances, the political leadership must change the vector of the economic interests of
Russia from the West to the East, which shifted the world's major financial flows. On the possibilities of the Chinese economy
can be gauged from the fact that in 2012 China has almost equaled the production of cars to the United States. Given that the primary export earnings are still made from
the sale of hydrocarbons, Russia
is forced to focus on the growing volume of energy consumption
in China and other countries in the Asia-Pacific
region (Figure ....). However, there is
increasing competition to Russian exports due to an increase in the supply of oil and gas from Turkmenistan
and Kazakhstan, countries of the Middle East and Africa, and in the future of the United States.
Such action should, above all, reduce the outflow of people from the eastern regions
of the country and create the necessary
economic base with a competitive rate of
economic development of border areas of China. The main condition for solving this problem is to create the necessary transport infrastructure linking the industrial centers of the European part of the country to the Far East. In considering this issue
it should be noted that the Russian
classics, including Lomonosov and Stolypin,
noted the need for accelerated development of the Far East
coast and the Arctic Ocean.
In a warming climate the Northern Sea Route is the shortest and cheapest way water delivery cargo
from Pacific Rim to Europe.
For Europe, of particular interest is the development of the shortest rail
and highways coming from South-East Asia to Europe and following the route of
the Great Tea and Silk Road. For this purpose is necessary to upgrade the Trans-Siberian and Baikal-Amur Mainline. Significant prospect is the construction of new highways through Kazakhstan to Europe and the Middle East.
The development of the Far East coast has to some extent correspond
to the likeness of the economic
development of the USA, whose power is on two "pillars"
of industrial clusters of the Atlantic
and Pacific coasts of the country. Moreover,
the huge extent of the Russian-Chinese border involves the use of so-called "Canadian" mechanism of economic
development based on proximity to the more powerful economic potential of the United States. According to
this model, it is possible to the Asian Russia use mutually
beneficial cooperation or feedback effect with the industrial centers of the North-Eastern China.
To a certain extent, the Russian economy has to repeat
the experience of the first five-year plans of the Soviet Union on a new level, then at the earliest in off-road conditions and the lack
of qualified personnel have been built almost all the industrial centers of Siberia and the
Far East, such as the Komsomolsk-on-Amur, Norilsk, Kuzbass, the largest aircraft factories in Novosibirsk, Irkutsk, Ulan-Ude, the Komsomolsk-on-Amur and Arsenyev. It is for such a scheme developed economy of modern China.
In Russia, unfortunately, after the construction of the BAM was a long "pause",
which gave way to the construction of oil and gas pipelines that, does not solve strategic problems. Moreover, against
the background of the
"hydrocarbon revolution", initiated by the United States is becoming more real drop in
energy prices, and with it
the economic crisis for Russia. The danger of this is triggered by the
implementation of high-cost "image
building" activities such APEC summit, Universiade in Kazan and the
Winter Olympics in Sochi, the FIFA World Cup and other similar analogues that
are not related to a specific area of the
economy.
As you know, following the example of Greece, recently conducted the Olympics, Poland and Ukraine have become the venue for the European football
championship, other than the direct costs there are many financial problems with the operation of sports facilities. Moreover, many experts argue that it is the Olympic Games sparked the beginning of the financial crisis the Greek economy.
Thus, it can be argued that
in the short term, Russia must show maximum political and economic activities on the eastern borders. In this case, special attention should be paid to the decentralization of government with the strengthening of regional and municipal component, which
may ultimately reduce the outflow of people from
the Asian part of the
country. For this purpose, it is advisable to use the experience of creating
a "Euro-regions" working
effectively in the European
Union as well as on the western borders of Russia and especially in
Karelia, collaborating with regional and municipal agencies in Finland.
The key to effective transboundary cooperation of any state is an economic interest of the border regions. Meanwhile, in the Siberian Federal District, the foreign trade of more than two times lower than the average Russian index, and in the border areas adjacent to the borders of Mongolia and China, these figures are less than 6 times.
Of particular
importance in
matters of transboundary cooperation are problems of rational water management in transboundary river
basins. In
Europe, there
are similar mechanisms in the basins of the rivers Rhine and Danube, which with varying degrees of effectiveness solve conflicts in water use. In the Asian part of Russia such mechanisms are only formed. Therefore, in the basins of the Ural, Irtysh, Amur Rivers there are a lot of conflicts with the regulation of water regime and the ecological condition of the watershed territory.
In the end, Russia in
the context of globalization must
turn its foreign policy interests to
the East. Stolypin talked about this 100 years ago, and so made the Russian coat of arms,
facing both west and east.