Tovma Nataliya

Doctor (Phd) Kaznu named al-Farabi



The analysis of city agglomerations in Kazakhstan

 

Abstract. This article describes the basic methods of analysis of urban agglomerations. By way of comparison are presented in Almaty and Astana. A model of economic growth in urban agglomerations (for example, the cities of Almaty and Astana).

       

Keywords – agglomerations, models, an urbanization

 

In modern conditions of managing in many countries as the main form of moving city agglomerations act. By the government of RK of the city of Astana, Almaty are approved as the long-term centers of economic growth. The Astana agglomeration is positioned as the center of high technologies and innovations. Almaty agglomeration is a trade and logistic and financial center, an innovative cluster on the basis of Ala Tau PITAS and the largest universities of Almaty. Successful development of urbanistic agglomerations possibly only thanks to modeling of these processes. In this regard, research of a complex of the transformations which have mentioned territorial bases of economy of Almaty and Astana, is represented actual. Growth and development of the cities is not the casual phenomenon in social and economic development of the society, development of a social production having in the basis. Historically emergence of the cities is connected with more profound division of labor, that is with separation of the industry from agriculture. Process of growth and development of the cities in any society is accompanied by village operation by the city, deepening existing and emergence of new social and economic contradictions in the cities. For a modern urbanization are characteristic set of the contradictions most essential of which are: contradictions both in development of the industry, and between industrial and agricultural production, excessive density of urban population, deterioration and distinction in level and quality of life of the population, overpopulation, formation of the giant cities, acute housing problem, limitation of places of the appendix of work, rise in crime and poverty, deterioration of the ecological environment, the social conflicts, etc. Elimination and neutralization of these phenomena – one of the most important problems of management and regulation of the cities, which successful decision demands strictly scientific studying of character and true scales of these phenomena and the mechanism of their emergence.

Questions of formation spatial structures of the cities and city agglomerations were studied by representatives of various economic schools in XIX – the beginning of the XX century. 

Problem of economic growth investigated, such scientists, as Minh Dao, María Jesús Freire-Serén, Judith Panadés i Martí [1-2].

The contribution to research of a problem was made by Henderson, J.V. Rossi-Hansberg, E. which considered an urbanization and economic GOST [3-4].

The powerful contribution to a studied subject was made by Taylor P. which offered the model of city agglomeration based on minimization of expenses for movement and on creation of ways of movement [5-6].

At the end of the XX century the new interdisciplinary current – the New city economy (NUE) presented by researchers of Black, D. and J.V. Henderson, Edward L Glaeser, Matthew E in the West develops. Kahn, [7-8].

In Kazakhstan this problem is considered at governmental level. The model of economic growth is presented in the main strategic documents of the country [9].

Paying tribute to the saved up scientific experience in this area, it should be noted that having publications on this subject raise only single questions connected with modeling of agglomerations. Despite a contribution of the scientists who are dealing with this problem remain such problem questions, as the factors, city agglomerations influencing development aren't investigated. Equilibrium models of a choice of policy of high-quality service of inhabitants of agglomeration didn't find worthy reflection in economic literature. As a whole the regional system of monitoring of urbanistic agglomerations isn't developed. There are unexplored questions of formation of city economy. The analysis of the studied literature also shows that there are no accurate recommendations about algorithm of modeling of urbanistic agglomerations and forecasting of expected results, on the basis of strategic documents RK. Therefore, there is a need of development of scientific approaches to development of model of economic growth of urbanistic agglomerations.

The first classical works devoted to problems of life of the cities, appeared at a boundary of the XIX-XX centuries. In them attempt to reveal essence of a phenomenon of the city was made. In social philosophy of the considered period (a geographical, demographic, economic, technological determinism) that fact is explained by domination of deterministsky concepts that definitions of the city had functional character and were aimed at identification of distinctive signs of the city, instead of its substantsionalny essence. Being guided by the analysis of scientific literature, it is possible to allocate five bases of designing of definitions of the city: political and administrative, territorial and demographic, social and economic and sociocultural bases.

Now the cities are historically developed centers of innovations in which the main production, intellectual and scientific potential is concentrated. The cities show the main demand for technologies of development, an innovation, they satisfy it.  So was at all times, will be and in the future.  But right now the world entered an era of an innovation and cardinal transformation of the cities.

The president of the country also noted that in Kazakhstan the perspective cities, such as Astana, Almaty, by Aktobe, Aktau, Shymkent are formed. In this regard he charged to the Government of the country to develop the program of agglomeration of settlements where the huge mass of the population is concentrated. The main objective of development of agglomerations in Kazakhstan is their formation as the long-term centers of growth integrated with the world and regional markets. Priority economic specializations of each agglomeration are thus defined. So, Astana Nazarbayev Universiteta, a medical cluster and a being formed industrial zone is offered to position as the center of high technologies and innovations on base. And it is considered as network "growth zone" taking into account proximity and prospects of development of Karaganda and the Shchuchinsko-Borovsky resort zone. By such criteria as demographic capacity, the logistic and economic potential, and also the administrative status of the city kernel, is carried out the analysis of agglomerative capacity of the cities of Kazakhstan. It is as a result offered to define agglomerations of two levels: the first – Astana, Almaty and Shymkent, the second – Aktobe and Aktau. Thus definition of agglomerations of the second level will be caused by existence of accurate strategy of development of the cities, and also results of realization by regions of the major state and industry programs.

Process of formation of agglomeration round Almaty is at the initial stage.  But such congestion of satellite towns possibly in far prospect as a result of growth of population, creation of the new cities and merge of the southern capital to such cities, as Kapshagay, Talgar, Esik, Kaskelen and other settlements.

Almaty agglomeration will develop as trade and logistic and financial center, an innovative cluster on the basis of park of information Ala Tau technologies and the largest universities, the center of tourism of all region of Central Asia.  This agglomeration it is planned to develop taking into account construction of satellite towns of G4 City and MTsPS "Horgos".

It is provided to provide also the coordinated development of infrastructure of agglomerations and zones of their attraction. This formation of the integrated transport and infocommunication system, modernization of housing and communal services with application of new technological decisions. Besides, development of the interregional plans of measures on development of the agglomerations approved by government resolutions – across Astana and Almaty, and decisions regional ìàñëèõàòîâ – across Shymkent, Aktobe and Aktau, and also development of the comprehensive town-planning plan (the interregional scheme) developments of city agglomeration and zones of their attraction for the long-term period is supposed.

The city of Aktobe grows and develops fast rates. And today it by right is one of the perspective centers of economic growth in the west of the country. The government of RK carried out the analysis of agglomerative capacity of the cities of Kazakhstan, and Aktobe among five large centers was included into the Program of development of regions regarding creation of city agglomeration of the second level. Therefore the administration of the Aktyubinsk area puts before itself accurate long-term strategy of development of the regional center. Conceptual approaches to formation of agglomeration, its specialization as industrial center are defined. The head of state put in front of Aktobe with the population 440 thousand people a task of achievement in the long term the population city to 1 million inhabitants. In this regard specialists scientists developed mathematico-economic model of development of the regional center on which in 2040 it becomes the city millionaire. According to scientists, for achievement of a million boundary the population of the city has to grow almost by 2,5 times. But the city can reach this status at the expense of other factors as all population of our region makes 765 thousand people. According to experts, such long-term forecast is feasible only in case in the city strategy of industrial and innovative development is actively implemented, that is there will be new objects of the industry of ore mining and smelting, oil and gas processing, building industry, the knowledge-intensive branches will be formed and to be created technopolises. In the city of Aktobe the new residential districts "Nour Aktobe" and "Batys-2" for accommodation of nearly 500 thousand population are under construction. The engineering and communication infrastructure develops.

Now measures taken by the state for support of the cities, especially small, are reduced to allocation of financial resources on the solution of the most acute problems connected with need of maintenance of minimum necessary standard of living.  Such way of recovery from the crisis of the small and average cities, considering the scale of problems and a condition of these city settlements, is less perspective.  The main objective consists in creating such social conditions for work which would allow to involve as a whole its economy in the city, to create the mechanism of self-development and at the expense of it to solve problems of employment of the population, housing and communal services and development of social infrastructure.

The modern level of development of urban economics of Kazakhstan shows that the industrial enterprises are generally concentrated in the regional centers and other large points. Industrial production in the small cities is presented mainly by the enterprises of food, fuel industry and the industry of construction materials. However on separate categories of the small cities concentration of industries is various. In them, besides the food industry and the industry of construction materials, develop ferrous and nonferrous metallurgy, electrical power, nefktegazodobyvayushchy. In a difficult situation there are the cities which basis of economy is made by the enterprises for processing of agricultural production. They don't possess the developed infrastructure, construction base, qualified personnel.

The researches conducted in our country, show that labor productivity and capital productivity in the production sphere, and also specific town-planning and operational expenses significantly differ in various settlements in size. The analysis carried out by us allows to assume that approximately indicators of efficiency of construction production in various city settlements have the same differentiation. In the world markets and with existence of small capacity of domestic market of prospect of further development of Kazakhstan and its territories are defined by possibility of positioning of the country not only as large exporter of raw material resources in the world markets, but also as the steady economic system focused, first of all, on delivery of average and hi-tech goods and granting a wide range of services (òîðãîâî - logistic, transport and information, financial, educational, etc.) in it is central the Asian region. Using the advantages and opening opportunities, Kazakhstan has to not only seek to become the economic leader of the region, but also to turn into it developed industrial and is service - the technological center. Kazakhstan has to become the center of gravity to the region of investments, advanced technologies and human resources, the integrator in regional economic relations. On this basis have to be created competitive specialization of regions of the country, the effective model of the territorial and economic organization is created and business of Almaty and Astana is intensified. The new model of growth of urbanistic agglomerations (on the example of Almaty and Astana) will allow to measure regional effects, to determine the directions of movement of factors of production, goods and services, and also extent of accumulation of the capital by regions; to reveal extent of influence of production and spatial factors on growth rates of economy of regions; to predict convergence (convergence), thanks to existence of positive dependence between growth rate of economy and distinction between the current and equilibrium level of the income in economy. The advantage of model of urbanistic growth is: accounting of real regional factors, especially factors of placement of production; use of innovations and their distribution as major factor of growth of territories, especially distribution channels; possession to certain opportunities and alignments of interregional levels of economic development by diffusion of innovations and industrialization; existence of great opportunities for practical application, because of a prostate of initial preconditions and definiteness of object of growth, allowing wide uses when developing specific programs of regional policy; determination of economic growth as consecutive a number of nonequilibrium conditions replacing each other in which balance is considered as the temporary and changeable phenomenon.

Taking into account the above, formation and development of model of urbanistic growth will be directed on successful positioning of the country and its certain territories:

Scientific provisions and conclusions promote strengthening and development of the cities, an entry of Kazakhstan into the world market.  Separate provisions can be used by the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan, the Ministry of the industry and new technologies, for creation of a methodical basis on development of measures of management efficiency by city agglomerations.

Results can be used at national level:

- public authorities of various levels, RK Agency statistically, the World bank, the government of the Republic of Kazakhstan, the Ministry of the industry and new technologies of the Republic of Kazakhstan, association of appraisers, when developing national standards of an assessment, the labor code, methodology of estimation of cost.

- various departments when developing programs of development of the cities, in practice of management, an assessment of investment projects, introduction and system effectiveness of management.

- higher educational institutions by preparation of training materials and lecturing in educational process when developing and teaching training courses in system of preparation and retraining of the managerial personnel and experts in the field of modeling.

- scientists when carrying out further researches.

 

Reference

 

1. Minh Dao An Analysis of Growth of Urbanization in Developing Economies, The Journal of Developing Areas, Vol. 36, No. 1 (Autumn, 2002), pp. 81-91

2. María Jesús Freire-Serén, Judith Panadés i Martí Tax avoidance, human capital accumulation and economic growth // Original Research Article Economic ModellingVolume 30. - 2013 22-29 Pages.

3. Henderson, J.V. (2003) "The Urbanization Process and Economic Growth: The So-What Question," Journal of Economic Growth, 8, 47-71.

4. Rossi-Hansberg, E. (2004), "Optimal Urban Land Use and Zoning," Review of Economic Dynamics,7, 69-106.

5. Taylor P. Specification of the World City Network // Geographical Analysis. 2001. Vol. 33 No. 2;

6. Taylor P. World Cities and Territorial States under Conditions of Contemporary Globalization // Political Geographical Analysis. 2000. Vol. 19. No. 5.

7. Black, D. and J.V. Henderson, 1999, A theory of urban growth. Journal of Political Economy 107, 252-84.

8. Sprawl and Urban Growth, Edward L. Glaeser, Matthew E. Kahn, NBER Working Paper No. 9733 Issued in May 2003.

9. Ñòðàòåãè÷åñêèé ïëàí ðàçâèòèÿ Ðåñïóáëèêè Êàçàõñòàí äî 2020 ãîäà