Åconomic sciences/2. Macroeconomics
Ph.D. in economics, Mauina G.A.
Kazakh University of Economy,
Finance and International Trade, Kazakhstan
Problems and development
strategy of the financial system
in Kazakhstan
Since the late
1990s to early 2009 due to positive external economic environment and good governance of public management by the economy of Kazakhstan has demonstrated phenomenal success in the socio-economic
development. Long-term
Development Strategy of Kazakhstan's
economy is conceptually framed
in policy documents such as "Strategy 2030"
(1997), the only document of its kind in post-Soviet space, and the "Strategy of industrial-innovative development until 2015." (2003), suggesting a gradual diversification economy and move away
from the raw material orientation.
However, the sharp
deterioration in global financial
markets during the second half of
2007 and the subsequent global
economic crisis caused a recession in the economy of Kazakhstan.
The growth of the financial system
of Kazakhstan is largely based on external borrowing (the issue of Eurobonds, syndicated and
bilateral lending, trade finance, opinion and complex OTC
options). Since the second half of 2007, this funding
of the banking sector has become
impossible, which causing a default of the largest banks in Kazakhstan ("BTA
Bank" and "Alliance
Bank"). The current situation
in the banking system is characterized
as highly complex (referred
to banks and other
financial institutions through a process of restructuring the internal and external
debts).
Earlier,
Kazakhstan's economy has been recognized
by international intergovernmental organizations and developed countries as the most dynamic in the FSU. Kazakhstan was the first among the CIS
countries has received the status of market economy of the
United States and the European Union. President of Kazakhstan was given the ambitious task of
entering the country in a group of 50 most competitive countries
in the world by the World Economic Forum
(Davos) and increase
GDP by 3.5 times in
2015. According to official estimates doubling the gross domestic product (GDP) compared to 2000
occurred in 2008. However, the medium-term socio-economic and financial development of
Kazakhstan promises to be complex
and requires ambiguous actions and
decisions taken by the Government of the RK, the National Bank of Kazakhstan and
the business community of the
country.
Much attention, at least in
European countries is given to guarantee private deposits insurance. Another indirect tool has permission to mergers and acquisitions of
banking and other financial institutions, whereas earlier, this measure is
strictly controlled by the states.
In general, we
can expect that the banking sector leading developed countries during 2011 to carry out the
mission of lending to national economies, additional injections,
as allocated funds so far should be enough just to reduce the effects
of the credit crisis in 2010
is particularly this is true due to the fact that leading government recognized that
the economic situation, and the rate
of decline in economic indicators are more serious than previously thought.
Guarantees, insurance,
maintenance - the basic mechanisms
used to combat the
financial crisis abroad. In the
UK, USA, Germany and Japan became
the main instrument of government guarantees for the funds allocated by the state contractors. In addition, the EU, U.S., Russia used the recapitalization, or otherwise,
direct financing banks.
If the reason for the creation of the state – is the
human desire for the division of labor, it becomes clear that the main task of
the state that for which it was originally created: it should provide the most
efficient division of labor. It should create a system that provides convenient
and effective division of labor with a low share of the costs of implementing
trade. The share of the costs of implementing commodity costs is treatment. In
distribution costs can include all unearned income arising from the production
of the goods before it was consumed.
the financial system is the most
famous and effective way to implement a system that ensures the division of
labor and a system of barter with money.
In recent years considerable number
of publications devoted the issue of creating a sound financial system and
financial policy of the state.
However, the unity of the theoretical aspects of this issue is not
reached.
Underdevelopment of the financial system, resulting in a relatively low level
of monetization of the economy and the high proportion of cash flow.
Due to the volume of raw material orientation of the economy of export currency
proceeds strongly depends on the situation in world commodity prices and
extremely unstable, and this directly affects the balance of payments situation
and the stability of the national currency.
Saving a fairly high level of dollarization of the economy reduces the
effectiveness of monetary policy, increases the vulnerability of the banking
system and the real economy, reducing government revenues.
Despite the
steady development of the banking
sector, lending is
still far from meeting the needs of the real economy in the credits,
especially for technical re-equipment.
One of the components
of monetary policy is to define an acceptable level of inflation, not hindering economic
growth. Excessively rigid anti-inflationary policy in a transition
economy with many structural
barriers that make imperfect
competition, causes unnecessary tension
in the country, leads to an increase in defaults, falling production. Thus, there is every reason to believe that containment of
inflation at around 10% would be
consistent with stated objectives, namely to achieve the 2009
level of GDP in
1990 and another 7% growth
in GDP.
In this regard, the main objective
of monetary policy will be to maintain the annual inflation rate in the range
of 5 to 10%, which would contribute to the economy's maximum growth rate.
Growth rate of annual inflation exceeding the specified limits, as
international experience shows that lower rates of real economic growth.
Higher inflation could have a
negative impact on the pace of the actual level of production by reducing the
effectiveness of the national currency of the functions of the scale of prices
and money savings. Lower inflation rates have a depressing effect on economic
activity by reducing the excess cash in the economy of the resources needed for
a painless restructuring of the economy.
Achieving
average annual inflation rate in the range of 5 to
10% will be provided by regulating
the level of the monetary base,
using all available tools from the
National Bank monetary policy. But
while the economic policy of the Government should also focus on such levels of
inflation.
Kazakhstan's foreign exchange policy
should be to protect the monetary system of the state and the economy from the adverse effects
of sharp fluctuations in the exchange
rate of tenge. Objectively defined the exchange rate is fundamental to ensuring macroeconomic stability in the state.
In this regard, the main priority of
the state in the sphere of currency
regulation should be the choice
of exchange rate policy does not
permit the revaluation of the
national currency and have no
negative effect on the competitiveness of domestic production in a constantly
changing world situation.
With increasing
globalization and integration of world
economy, the role of banks as financial centers of the new world order. In many countries there is a trend of consolidation of banks. The main purpose of consolidation - the concentration of capital and the desire to create an integrated organization able to compete in the global
capital market. The enlargement can occur both through
merger and consolidation
of financial institutions, and
because of their natural growth.
Despite the gradual
consolidation of banking institutions, the task associated with the creation of an extensive banking network, the
state should be a priority.
Therefore, as the financial system
on the market is expected appearance of new specialized credit institutions with special problems (mortgage,
Development and Housing) and the further development of existing non-bank financial institutions.
To provide
quality financial services to the
population in the regions will be
established postal savings system.
It also will expand the provision of financial services to the
population, especially in rural
areas, and create favorable
conditions for the flow of new savings
in the financial sector. It is
therefore important to improve the legal and regulatory framework for the
development sector organizations
engaged in certain types of banking operations, including the system of postal savings institutions, promote the creation of
new financial instruments.
Thus, financial
market Kazakhstan will be represented
not only the banks involved in
servicing larger customers, but
also non-bank financial institutions,
whose activities will be closely associated with medium and small clients.
In this regard, is expected to improve
the quality and range to the population and businesses of banking services, including the introduction of new banking technologies.
Expected to strengthen the bank's branch network in areas that will ensure the
widespread availability of banking services.
Creation of a fund to guarantee the liabilities of banks on interbank loans
will also contribute to the stability of
the banks.
Provides for the accelerated
development of the insurance market in the country. The creation of modern
national insurance industry requires the development and phased implementation
of measures to raise the insurance market to a new level. In this regard, the
main aspects and directions of development of Kazakhstan's insurance industry
more detail in the State Program of development of insurance in the Republic of
Kazakhstan for 2000-2002. As implementation of this program will be new
challenges and activities that will enhance the functions of insurance
companies and strengthen the role of the insurance market in the development of
the financial system.
Sustainability of the country's
banking system, improving the protection of deposits in banks will lead to a
gradual increase in banks' resource base and strengthen their lending capacity.
In the same direction will act and created mortgage company that would expand
the resource base of banks at the expense of raising funds of institutional
investors (pension and insurance funds), as well as a fund interbank deposit
insurance.
Under these conditions,
the effective use of financial resources
is the most important, therefore,
necessary to implement the following
conditions that stimulate the
flow of financial resources into
the real economy:
- effective operation of a specialized Development
Bank to focus public resources
on priority development areas of the country's economy;
- the development and
improvement of various
mechanisms lending to the real sector
of the economy, taking into account the optimal division of risk of default of money;
- Continued work to improve monitoring of the
real economy and strengthening the orientation of monetary policy to the needs of the real economy;
- improvement and
development of the country's
mortgage lending and construction savings;
- the active
development of financial leasing
in the region;
- expansion of nonbank financial
institutions, including credit
unions, in the regions;
- creating equal conditions
for the activities of domestic
and foreign investors;
- creating an enabling environment for investment in priority sectors of the economy, ie granting of privileges and preferences;
- further development of the stock market,
etc.
Òhe list of references
1.
Message from the President of the
Republic of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbaev
of Kazakhstan: A New Decade - New Economic Growth - New Opportunities
in Kazakhstan (Astana, January 29, 2010).
2. Zeynelgabdin AB
"The financial system of Kazakhstan:
the emergence and development" -
Astana, 2008. - 224s.
3. Kovalev, AA
"Finance and credit" .Moscow: Finances and Statistics, 2003.
4. Drobozina LA
"Finance. Circulation of money.
Credit ". - Moscow: Finances,
1997.
5. Aubakirov YN. Economic Problems of Strategy in Kazakhstan .-
Almaty, 1997.
6.
Report on budget execution. - Ministry of Finance of the Republic of
Kazakhstan, May 2010.
7. Report on budget
execution. - Ministry of Finance of
the Republic of Kazakhstan, December 2008.