Modern information technologies/3. The software

 

Candidate of Physical and Mathematical Sciences Prokopenko E.V.,

candidate of technical science Kolokolnikova A.I.

Kuzbass state technical University named after T.F.Gorbachev, Russia

Application of spline – interpolation  methods for the analysis and processing of statistics in medicine

 

         The development of effective mathematical techniques for the analysis and processing of medical statistical data is very important. Let's consider the use of the results of computer simulation [1] for the early identification of people who consume

 psychoactive substances. Drug abuse can become a cause of misconduct and antisocial behavior, predisposition to lying, stealing and violence. Identification of people with substance abuse can prevent allow them to drive vehicles. This will help to reduce the accident rate on the roads. The above-mentioned problem and the need for its resolving defined the practical significance and relevance of this research.
         The study of data about patients in drug treatment clinics allows to get the anamnesis of the patient - information about the origin and course of the disease. In the early stages the periods of drug intoxication are short-lived and rare, they even may not be seen (figure 1). Drug-related behavior can be observed during the phases of preparation P or intaking the drugs A, but both of these phases are short-lived and usually take place in secrecy.

Fig. 1. The stage of the disease

         The change of behavior, reflexes and physiological indicators, for example, the reaction to the light, pulse frequency can be seen, and sometimes investigated during the phase of intoxication I or the phase after intoxication asthenia H.  Drugs or their metabolites (products of transformations in the body) can be detected in biological fluids in the long-phase M, within a few days after the end of the intoxication.

         A variety of transient disturbances S, fatigue or memory loss may occur after multiple-dose introduction of drugs. Their relationship to drug is often overlooked. The later stages of drug addiction may cause chronic disorders or physical signs D, making the consumer of psychoactive stimulant easily recognizable on abnormality of movements smoothness.

         The study of data sets of addiction clinics patients allows investigating in the mathematical model the dependence between the time of drug use, the volume of the consumed doses and "quality of life" of drug-dependent patients. When considering the graphical representation of this dependence it turns out that the statistical data for constructing a curve, describing the treatment history of the patient, contains a lot of points.

         Therefore, the technique based on the spline surfaces was proposed to process health statistics. Spline interpolation method allows to conduct the approximating curve as close as possible to the experimental points. From a mathematical point of view, the curve for this data set is a compound curve. In contrast to the Lagrange interpolation polynomial  and cubic splines on a equally spaced grid this study requires the organization of irregular grid modeling, the analysis of planar and spatial properties of elementary and composite B-spline curves, the use of canonical models of B-spline curves [2].

This study examined arrays of data on the use of "medium" and "strong" by the action of the drug on two groups of patients with known periods of their use. If the period of drug use is displayed on the axis OX, the amount of the drug – on the axis OY, duration (hours) - on the axis OZ, the array of statistics can be interpreted as a set of points in three- or two-dimensional space. On this array, you can build a spatial B-spline curve, identify and learn its canonical model.  The curve corresponding to canonical model, can be considered as a curve of normal conditions of life of the patient. In the study of fragments of the integral curve constructed from the data bank of studied patients, it turned out that at some points, i.e. in the periods of life in certain parts of the array, a canonical curve type could not be defined (figure 2).

Fig. 2. The curve of critical moment

         When considering the data it turned out that each array for which the corresponding curve of canonical type is not defined, matches to a certain "critical" period of the disease. In the case of such an indicator of the health of the patient the final analysis and recommendations should be given by doctors. Statistics were examined  on a group of 250 people, and in 77% of the «critical» periods coincided 82% [3].

         The results provide a basis for predicting and identifying measures for effective monitoring and control the condition of patients after release from the medical institution. Such technique of analysis and visualization of medical statistics based on methods of spline – interpolation can be used in a health survey of the population.

 

Literature:

1. Kolokolnikova. A. Computer modeling as an active method of training // the European Science and Technology: 2nd International scientific conference. Fur krankenschwester Rodnik e. V. Wiesbaden. 2012. p. 265-273.

2. Prokopenko, E.V. The canonical model of the cubic parameterized curves [electric]: Investigated in Russia / E.V. Prokopenko. - Mode of access: http://zhurnal.ape.relarn.ru/articles/2008/029.pdf. - p. 329-337

3. Prokopenko, E.V. Computer complex of storage and processing of diagnostic information in the narcological dispensary [text]: Alpha

abstracts of the thirteenth regional conference on mathematics MAK-2010/ E.V. Prokopenko. - Barnaul, 2010. - p. 106-107.