Sc.D. Knigavko
V. G., Ph.D. Radzishevskaya
E. B., Levchenko T. V., Solodovnikov A. S.
Kharkov national
medical university,
Ukraine
The significance of bases of decision making theory
for doctors training at medical universities
Having
subject to own professional peculiarities every specialist in a varying degree meets
the difficulties of decision making. However there are few fields for human activity
where it is possible to apply decision making process as ordinary and basic
professional skill. Medical activity being sequence of diagnosing and treatment is the typical representative
of such field. Methods of decision making are multipurpose and universal though
their successful application substantially depends on professional
qualification of the specialist who must have exact understanding of
peculiarities of the system he studies and must know how to lay down the task. Uninterrupted
development of informational technologies and improvement of technological and industrial base put the problem
of decision making theory in medical field to advanced level. This fact become apparent
in all the fields of medical science relating to the activity of medical establishments,
for instance, in form of creation and implementation of specialized medical
programs, telemedicine technologies and projects of integrated automatization
for hospitals or clinics [1]. Actually all these are subject of investigation for
medical informatics (MI) that is the unbiased reason to include decision making
theory to MI course for medical university students.
Kharkov National Medical University (KhNMU) with support
of Department of Biomedical Engineering of Kharkiv National University of Radio
Electronics (KhNURE) have developed and implemented (since 2012) the lecture «Decision making in medicine» [2]. It is
argued by fact that the doctor meets the common problem in different medical
tasks (patient data acquisition, diagnostics, and treatment tactics). This problem is the choice of
decision method.
Although
the requirements to the accuracy and reliability of the diagnosis (or diagnosis
validity in other words) become more and more strict from year to year, medicine
does correspond semistructured branch of knowledge that causes serious
difficulties in formalization approach to decision making. On the one hand the hypothesis
or final decision based on standard disease manifestation arises during medical
observation, on the other hand it appears only after detailed observation. It may
be a cause of adjustment of the diagnostic analysis chain and sometimes of fundamental
changes depending on the obtained results. Quickness of decision-making is
affected by doctor qualification and disease features in concrete patient.
Getting
the information from the world around them or analyzing the occured situation doctors
always refer to own knowledge and experience accumulated for years. But human memory
feature is that the total amount of reproduced information is always less than amount
of perceived information while technical device allows displaying and receiving
information at the same size. In comparison with mechanical memorizing and representing
ability human is often weaker than machine, so long as his memory during the
fixation, storing and reproducing information sometimes loses it. The speed of correct
solving of posed problems is very important for specialists, especially in risk
conditions when timely measures and prompt actions let the doctor save patient's
life. That is why in a number of cases it is
necessary to use special instruments supporting the process of decision making
[3]. Such instrument does not relieve human of responsibility for consequences of
wrong actions. It is needed to increase the precision and speed of task solving
and speed of searching for required information.
During
recent years, personal computers and software are tremendously improved.
Software companies create lots of applications that support and realize
decision making process. This gives ability to verify solution methods by
developing medical and biological processes model [4].
Students
must get an explanation while studying the general theory of decision making
that the term «make a decision» from the point of view of math means to make a
choice from number of alternatives. Despite the variety of existed problems, there
are several main stages of decision procedure: objective definition; creation
of a set of alternatives; forming of criteria to compare alternatives; finding
optimal solution from set of feasible solutions (optimization task). Further students
become acquainted with basic terminology of the theory: «decision-making
consequence», «system of preferences», «objective function», «decision», «decision-making
person», and after that the classification of decision-making tasks is
discussed. Students study the methods of decision-making for determined tasks, tasks
in conditions of stochastic indeterminacy, and in risk conditions [5]. Taking in
account the complexity of considered problem all discussed questions are supplied
by examples from medical field or by situational tasks. For instance, students must
understand to which category it is possible to lable the task of psychic sanity
detection in an offender who is suspected of grave crime, and who tries to mitigate
penalty by mental disorder simulation. With relation to medicine there is
a topical question of tasks decomposition in static and dynamic types as well.
Medical
diagnosis being the kind of decision-making problems has a probabilistic nature
and connected with hypothesis verification.
The decision making person during the task solving tries to check his
supposition or hypothesis. To do it correctly students are merged into statistical
section in order to consider the notions «hypothesis», «significance level», «power
of test», «test sensitivity», «test specificity», and «errors of 1-st and 2-nd
type» as well.
In the end,
students must pay attention to the tasks of decision-making problem which occur
when goal-setting is difficult to be formulated by appropriate mathematical
tool or when it is necessary to assemble group of specialists of different branches
of knowledge. There are special approaches, technics, and methods for such cases.
To start the process we need to define problem domain and to detect factors which
influence on the task solution and also to choose methods allowing us to
formulate the task so that we can get a correct way of solving. The next step is
to obtain the expression connecting goal with tools of its achievement. All of these
are embodied by mathematical models with different criteria like criteria of
functioning, , efficiency criteria, objective function and so on.
Task can
be always solved if it is possible to define connection between aim and
methods. It can be done easily if we know the law of connection. Otherwise we must
to find another way of mapping the problem domain to the solving technic. This law
may be based on statistical researches or functional dependencies. If even this
way is fallacious then the specialist should choose or develop theory containing
range of statements and rules that help him to get a conception and take it as
a base for construction of decision-making process. When theory does not exist we
need in raised hypothesis for creation of imitating models to investigate
possible ways of research.
System
representation, methods of system analysis are used to help formulating the
objective on a tight timetable as well as to help the specialist to analyze
goals, to define applied tools and to select required information that
characterizes decision-making conditions and influences on the choice of
criteria and restrictions. System analysis is useful way to get an objective with
methods connected to it.
Thereby, in spite
of complexity the considered problem the future doctor should apply theory of decision
making as theoretical basis for his profession to improve his work and to be
more precise. Besides that, this theory
is just an additional fragment of Artificial Intelligence and Expert Systems
course, for it can be considered like
introduction to the larger theme expanding medical specialists knowledge.
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