Kolos I., Yerysh L.
Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
named after M. Tugan-Baranovsky
INFLATION IN UKRAINE IN CRISIS
Inflation is one of the most pressing problems of
economic development of any country. More urgent the problem is found in the
financial crisis, when the effects of inflation increased destabilization of
the hryvnia (UAH), the loss of depositor confidence in the banking system, the
decline of key sectors of national economy and soaring unemployment.
Inflation is a versatile, complex process, which
clearly reflects the main problems and weaknesses of the economy. It is a
process of general price level of growth in the state due to violations of the
law of money circulation. Inflation occurs when in the turnover there is an excessive
amount of money.
This situation leads to their depreciation, money are
getting "cheaper", and the prices are an impetus to growth. Inflation
is a broad social and economic phenomenon, born in the production of imbalances
in different areas of the market economy.
In crisis conditions of economy inflation has several
distinguishing characteristics: if previously the inflation rate was of a local
character, now it is universal, if previously it had a periodic character, now it
is chronic, inflation at the present stage is influenced not only by the money
factor, but also by many others.
The causes of inflation in Ukraine have to be look for
in a cash flow strain, namely, improper conduct of monetary policy, "dollarisation"
of the economy, devaluation of the hryvnia, limited exports of metallurgical
products (which gave a significant inflow of foreign currency deficit, of which
depreciated hryvnia). Also, the situation in the country is deteriorating due
to a political fragmentation, so no necessary measures were taken in time.
Although the main inflation factors are concentrated on the national economy,
but there are those that are outside it. This refers to the transfer of
inflation channels of world trade, when prices on raw materials or energy
stimulates the mechanism of inflation costs.
Increase in fuel prices, imported by Ukraine from the
Russian Federation, also had a significant impact on strengthening of
inflationary processes in Ukraine.
Inflation affects all socio-economic spheres of life.
The overall economic situation was affected by the crisis of export-oriented
industries that have traditionally been a source of filling the state budget.
The financial crisis not only affects the world
economy, but also every citizen of Ukraine in particular. Under the pressure of
the situation in Ukraine "Gold Rush" began. The increased interest in
gold provoked a significant decrease in confidence in the deposits, as well as
the reluctance of people to invest in securities. Ukrainian consumers were not
stopped, even over-bank gold price, which in some cases reached thousands of
dollars per ounce. Precious metals were a more reliable way of investing money.
The main ways that can stabilize the economy as a
whole and to reduce inflation is to adopt anti-crisis measures in the following
areas: promoting the production, price controls, the review of fiscal policy in
terms of costs, providing government and corporate financial liabilities on
external loans, stabilizing the national currency and a clear, predicted exchange
rate policy.
Thus, to overcome the economic crisis in the first
place, it is necessary to stop inflation and the devaluation of the hryvnia
since inflation has a negative effect on real incomes, savings, living
conditions, social groups, etc. Whatever the reason of inflation, is it
devalues the budget revenues, and is accompanied by its scarcity.
In order to avoid a deep recession, the national economy and the massive
increase in inflation during the crisis, it is necessary to use the widest
possible tools, starting with the refinancing of commercial banks to control
rates and tight fiscal policy of the government.